Institute of Food Safety and Health Risk Assessment, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan.
Department of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan.
Int J Infect Dis. 2020 Aug;97:135-142. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.05.082. Epub 2020 May 29.
To assess the potential epidemiological impact and cost-effectiveness of shorter antibiotic regimens in high tuberculosis (TB) burden regions of Taiwan.
This study combined the TB population dynamic model and cost-effectiveness analysis with local data to simulate the disease burdens, effectiveness and costs of hypothetical 4-month, 2-month and 7-day regimens compared with the standard regimen.
The main outcomes were the potential of shorter regimens for averted incidence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio and net monetary benefit. Shorter regimens would lower incidence rates and mortality cases in a high TB burden region by an average of 19-33% and 27-41%, respectively, with the potential for cost-effectiveness or cost-saving. The 2-month and 7-day regimens would be more cost-effective than the 4-month regimen. The threshold daily drug prices for achieving cost-effectiveness and cost-saving for 4-month, 2-month and 7-day regimens were $US1, $US2 and $US70, respectively. Such cost-effectiveness would remain, even if the willingness-to-pay threshold was less than one gross domestic product per capita.
The findings support the inclusion of shorter regimens in global guidelines and regional-scale TB control strategies, which would improve disease control, particularly in settings with high rates of incidence and poor treatment outcomes.
评估在台湾结核病负担较高地区采用较短抗生素疗程方案的潜在流行病学影响和成本效益。
本研究结合结核病人群动力学模型和成本效益分析,利用当地数据,模拟假设的 4 个月、2 个月和 7 天疗程方案与标准疗程方案相比,在疾病负担、效果和成本方面的情况。
主要结局是较短疗程方案在避免发病、死亡和残疾调整生命年方面的潜力、增量成本效益比和净货币收益。在结核病负担较高的地区,较短的疗程方案平均可降低 19-33%的发病率和 27-41%的死亡率,具有成本效益或成本节约的潜力。2 个月和 7 天疗程方案比 4 个月疗程方案更具成本效益。要实现 4 个月、2 个月和 7 天疗程方案的成本效益和成本节约,每日药物价格的阈值分别为 1 美元、2 美元和 70 美元。即使支付意愿阈值低于人均国内生产总值,这种成本效益仍将存在。
研究结果支持将较短的疗程方案纳入全球指南和区域规模的结核病控制策略中,这将改善疾病控制,特别是在发病率高和治疗效果差的环境中。