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环境菲利普斯曲线:经合组织和亚洲新兴工业化经济体视角。

Environmental Phillips curve: OECD and Asian NICs perspective.

机构信息

Bangladesh Bank, Dhaka, Bangladesh.

School of Commerce, University of Southern Queensland, Toowoomba, Queensland, 4350, Australia.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2020 Sep;27(25):31153-31170. doi: 10.1007/s11356-020-08620-8. Epub 2020 May 31.

Abstract

This research aims to explore the existence of a new concept known as "environmental Phillips curve" (EPC) developed by the authors. Taking annual data of 30 countries for 26 years, a panel data estimation method is applied. The invented function shows an inverse relationship between pollution and unemployment. In most of the cases, the industrialized countries show that the relationship is valid. The notion is proved effective in every format of investigation. It seems that curbing pollution in the world is only possible at the cost of human employment. Therefore, if countries want to curb environmental pollution without affecting the generation of employment and reducing poverty, they should contemplate both innovation and enforcement alternative technologies that would be less polluting but employment friendly. Moreover, this research also suggests that if a country can treat pollution efficiently, it can increase the national income without a deteriorating unemployment level.

摘要

本研究旨在探讨作者提出的新概念“环境菲利普斯曲线”(EPC)的存在。利用 26 年 30 个国家的年度数据,采用面板数据估计方法。发明的函数显示了污染与失业之间的反比关系。在大多数情况下,工业化国家表明这种关系是有效的。这一概念在各种调查形式中都被证明是有效的。看来,要在不影响就业和减少贫困的情况下遏制世界污染,似乎只能以牺牲人类就业为代价。因此,如果各国要在不影响就业和减少贫困的情况下遏制环境污染,就应该考虑创新和实施替代性技术,这些技术的污染程度较低,但有利于就业。此外,本研究还表明,如果一个国家能够有效地治理污染,就可以在不提高失业率的情况下增加国民收入。

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