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检验经人口调整后的 OECD 国家能源-环境库兹涅茨曲线

Examining the Energy-Environmental Kuznets Curve in OECD Countries Considering their Population.

机构信息

Department of Industrial Engineering, Sanandaj Branch, Islamic Azad University, Sanandaj, Iran.

Department of Industrial Engineering, University of Kurdistan, Sanandaj, Iran.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Sep;30(41):94515-94536. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-28923-w. Epub 2023 Aug 3.

Abstract

This research aims to examine the validity of the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis in 37 Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries over the period from 1960 to 2019. Panel Quantile Regressions (QR) show that for the lower quartile, economic growth does not impact emissions; for the central quartile a U-shaped curve emerges; while for the upper quartile, an N-shaped curve is found. In addition, cointegrating regressions highlight that economic growth, fossil fuel consumption, and population exert a detrimental effect on the environment, while renewable energy consumption reduces carbon dioxide (CO) emissions. These results are confirmed by panel causality tests since a feedback mechanism is found between CO emissions and the remaining series. Furthermore, single-country estimates provide evidence of great variability in the sample.

摘要

本研究旨在检验 1960 年至 2019 年间 37 个经济合作与发展组织(OECD)国家环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)假说的有效性。面板分位数回归(QR)表明,对于较低的四分位数,经济增长不会对排放产生影响;对于中间四分位数,出现了 U 形曲线;而对于较高的四分位数,则发现了 N 形曲线。此外,协整回归表明,经济增长、化石燃料消费和人口对环境产生不利影响,而可再生能源消费则减少了二氧化碳(CO)排放。面板因果关系检验证实了这一结果,因为在 CO 排放和其余序列之间发现了反馈机制。此外,单国估计提供了样本中存在巨大差异的证据。

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