Department of Industrial Engineering, Sanandaj Branch, Islamic Azad University, Sanandaj, Iran.
Department of Industrial Engineering, University of Kurdistan, Sanandaj, Iran.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Sep;30(41):94515-94536. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-28923-w. Epub 2023 Aug 3.
This research aims to examine the validity of the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis in 37 Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries over the period from 1960 to 2019. Panel Quantile Regressions (QR) show that for the lower quartile, economic growth does not impact emissions; for the central quartile a U-shaped curve emerges; while for the upper quartile, an N-shaped curve is found. In addition, cointegrating regressions highlight that economic growth, fossil fuel consumption, and population exert a detrimental effect on the environment, while renewable energy consumption reduces carbon dioxide (CO) emissions. These results are confirmed by panel causality tests since a feedback mechanism is found between CO emissions and the remaining series. Furthermore, single-country estimates provide evidence of great variability in the sample.
本研究旨在检验 1960 年至 2019 年间 37 个经济合作与发展组织(OECD)国家环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)假说的有效性。面板分位数回归(QR)表明,对于较低的四分位数,经济增长不会对排放产生影响;对于中间四分位数,出现了 U 形曲线;而对于较高的四分位数,则发现了 N 形曲线。此外,协整回归表明,经济增长、化石燃料消费和人口对环境产生不利影响,而可再生能源消费则减少了二氧化碳(CO)排放。面板因果关系检验证实了这一结果,因为在 CO 排放和其余序列之间发现了反馈机制。此外,单国估计提供了样本中存在巨大差异的证据。