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决策中的心理“双缝实验”:量子与经典。

Psychological 'double-slit experiment' in decision making: Quantum versus classical.

机构信息

Ishlinsky Institute for Problems in Mechanics RAS, Vernadskogo Ave., 101/1, Moscow, 119526, Russia.

International Center for Mathematical Modeling in Physics, Engineering, Economics, and Cognitive Science, Linnaeus University, 351 95, Växjö, Sweden; National Research University for Information Technology, Mechanics and Optics (ITMO), Department, St. Petersburg, 197101, Russia.

出版信息

Biosystems. 2020 Jul;195:104171. doi: 10.1016/j.biosystems.2020.104171. Epub 2020 May 30.

Abstract

This paper is devoted to justification of the application of quantum probability theory to problems of cognition, psychology, and decision making. Such applications are heavily based on quantum-like representation of interference of events that is formalized with complex probability amplitudes ("mental wave functions") and the Born rule for calculation of probability. In this paper, we present universal mathematical formalization of interference of events based on the calculus of intensities of interacting processes. Generally, this formalization leads to the nonlinear law of superposition of complex probability amplitudes with quantum linear superposition as a special important case. For intensities characterized by discrete occurrence of events, the formula for interference of intensities is transferred into the quantum-like formula for interference of probabilities. We illustrate the formalism by simple examples of possible applications of the calculus of intensities of processes to decision making and economics. We show that in special cases the classical (Kolmogorov) probabilistic model can give the same results as the quantum rule of summation of probabilities.

摘要

本文致力于证明量子概率论在认知、心理学和决策制定等问题中的应用是合理的。这些应用主要基于事件干涉的量子样表示,这种表示通过复数概率幅(“心理波函数”)和用于计算概率的玻恩定则来形式化。在本文中,我们提出了基于相互作用过程强度演算的事件干涉的通用数学形式化。通常,这种形式化导致了复数概率幅的非线性叠加定律,量子线性叠加是其一个特殊重要的情况。对于以离散事件发生为特征的强度,强度干涉的公式可以转化为类似于量子概率干涉的公式。我们通过过程强度演算在决策和经济学中可能应用的简单示例来说明这种形式化。我们表明,在特殊情况下,经典(柯尔莫哥洛夫)概率模型可以给出与量子概率叠加规则相同的结果。

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