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2000-2015 年巴西托坎廷斯州麻风相关死亡率的时间趋势和空间分布。

Temporal trends and spatial distribution of leprosy-related mortality in the state of Tocantins, Brazil, 2000-2015.

机构信息

Fundação Escola de Saúde Pública de Palmas, Palmas, TO, Brasil.

Instituto Federal de Ciência, Educação e Tecnologia do Ceará, Caucaia, CE, Brasil.

出版信息

Epidemiol Serv Saude. 2020;29(3):e2018336. doi: 10.5123/s1679-49742020000300003. Epub 2020 Jun 1.

Abstract

Objective to describe temporal trends and spatial distribution patterns of leprosy-related deaths in the state of Tocantins, Brazil, 2000-2015. Methods this study was based on Mortality Information System (SIM) data; mortality coefficient temporal trend analysis was performed using joinpoint regression and descriptive spatial analysis, taking the state's 139 municipalities as geographic units of analysis. Results 201 leprosy-related deaths were identified in Tocantins; average mortality coefficient was 0.7 deaths/100,000 inhabitants; mortality tended to increase significantly (5.4% Annual Percentage Change - 95% CI 2.0; 8.9); the average annual crude mortality coefficient ranged from 0.00 to 6.83 deaths/100,000 inhabitants, while the smoothed indicator ranged from 0.00 to 2.42 deaths/100,000 inhabitants. Conclusion leprosy mortality showed a rising trend and heterogeneous spatial distribution in Tocantins, with the need to strengthen leprosy surveillance and control measures.

摘要

目的

描述巴西托坎廷斯州 2000-2015 年麻风相关死亡的时间趋势和空间分布模式。

方法

本研究基于死亡信息系统(SIM)数据;使用 Joinpoint 回归和描述性空间分析方法对死亡率时间趋势进行分析,以该州的 139 个城市为分析的地理单位。

结果

在托坎廷斯州发现了 201 例麻风相关死亡病例;平均死亡率系数为 0.7 例/10 万人;死亡率呈显著上升趋势(5.4%的年变化百分比-95%CI 2.0;8.9);平均每年的粗死亡率系数范围为 0.00 至 6.83 例/10 万人,而平滑指标范围为 0.00 至 2.42 例/10 万人。

结论

麻风死亡率在托坎廷斯州呈上升趋势,空间分布不均匀,需要加强麻风监测和控制措施。

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