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中国民用爆炸物爆炸伤的发生率、伤亡人数和风险特征:国家安全生产监督管理总局 2000-2017 年数据。

Incidence, casualties and risk characteristics of civilian explosion blast injury in China: 2000-2017 data from the state Administration of Work Safety.

机构信息

State Key Laboratory of Trauma, Burn and Combined Injury, Research Institute of Surgery, Daping Hospital, Army Medical University, Chongqing, 400042, China.

Department of Emergency, the Second Affiliated Hospital of Medical College in Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, 310009, China.

出版信息

Mil Med Res. 2020 Jun 11;7(1):29. doi: 10.1186/s40779-020-00257-5.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Civilian explosion blast injury is more frequent in developing countries, including China. However, the incidence, casualties, and characteristics of such incidents in China are unknown.

METHODS

This is a retrospective analysis of the State Administration of Work Safety database. Incidents during a period from January 1, 2000 to April 30, 2017 were included in the analysis. The explosions were classified based on the number of deaths into extraordinarily major, major, serious and ordinary type. Descriptive statistics was used to analyze the incidence and characteristics of the explosions. Correlation analysis was performed to examine the potential correlations among various variables.

RESULTS

Data base search identified a total of 2098 explosions from 2000 to 2017, with 29,579 casualties: 15,788 deaths (53.4%), 12,637 injured (42.7%) and 1154 missing (3.9%). Majority of the explosions were serious type (65.4%). The number of deaths (39.5%) was also highest with the serious type (P = 0.006). The highest incidence was observed in the fourth quarter of the year (October to December), and at 9:00-11:00 am and 4:00-6:00 pm of the day. The explosions were most frequent in coal-producing provinces (Guizhou and Shanxi Province). Coal mine gas explosions resulted majority of the deaths (9620, 60.9%). The number of explosion accidents closely correlated with economic output (regional economy and national GDP growth rate) (r = - 0.372, P = 0.040; r = 0.629, P = 0.028).

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence and civilian casualties due to explosions remain unacceptabe in developing China. Measures that mitigate the risk factors are of urgently required.

摘要

背景

民用爆炸爆炸伤在发展中国家更为常见,包括中国。然而,中国此类事件的发生率、伤亡人数和特征尚不清楚。

方法

这是对国家安全生产监督管理总局数据库的回顾性分析。分析中包括了 2000 年 1 月 1 日至 2017 年 4 月 30 日期间发生的事件。根据死亡人数将爆炸事件分为特大、重大、严重和普通类型。使用描述性统计分析来分析爆炸的发生率和特征。进行相关分析以检查各种变量之间的潜在相关性。

结果

数据库搜索共确定了 2000 年至 2017 年期间的 2098 起爆炸事件,造成 29579 人伤亡:15788 人死亡(53.4%),12637 人受伤(42.7%)和 1154 人失踪(3.9%)。大多数爆炸为严重类型(65.4%)。死亡人数(39.5%)也最高(P=0.006)。一年中第四季度(10 月至 12 月)的发病率最高,上午 9:00-11:00 和下午 4:00-6:00。爆炸最频繁发生在产煤省份(贵州和山西省)。煤矿瓦斯爆炸导致大多数人死亡(9620 人,60.9%)。爆炸事故数量与经济产出(区域经济和国民生产总值增长率)密切相关(r=-0.372,P=0.040;r=0.629,P=0.028)。

结论

发展中国家中国的爆炸发生率和民用伤亡仍然不可接受。急需采取减轻风险因素的措施。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a5dd/7288536/85ba8b34c8a3/40779_2020_257_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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