Nephrology, Huashan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, People's Republic of China.
National Clinical Research Center for Aging and Medicine, Huashan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, People's Republic of China.
Clin Interv Aging. 2020 May 26;15:733-742. doi: 10.2147/CIA.S250535. eCollection 2020.
Reduced kidney function has been associated with an increased risk for adverse outcomes. Accurate assessment of glomerular filtration rate (GFR) is key to diagnosis and management of kidney disfunction. Debate exists on the best GFR estimation equation for elderly people. This study aimed to compare the predictive validity and discriminative ability of four GFR equations in relation to 2-year and 6-year mortality in exceptional longevity (EL) (those over 95 years old with intact health) individuals and is an ideal model to address factors relating to life span and age-related diseases.
This study used 6 years' data of 278 EL from the Rugao longevity cohort. Baseline GFR was estimated using four equations: Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation, Modification of Diet in Renal Disease Study (MDRD) equation, Berlin Initiative Study-1 (BIS) equation, and modified MDRD equation. Predictive validity was tested using Cox proportional hazards analysis. Overall improvement in reclassification based on estimated GFR (eGFR) was assessed applying net reclassification improvement (NRI).
Mean age of participants was 97±2 years with median follow-up of 2.6 years. Median (IQR) eGFR by CKD-EPI, MDRD, BIS, and modified MDRD equations were 73.9 (62.2-77.6), 82.3 (67.4-98.6), 56.4 (47.9-63.9), and 101.5 (83.1-121.6) mL/min per 1.73 m, respectively. Higher eGFR was associated with lower mortality after multivariate adjustment (for continuous eGFR, HR 1.018, 95% CI 1.002-1.033, =0.023; HR 1.013, 95% CI 1.002-1.025, =0.022), while eGFR from other equations did not show any associations with mortality. NRI for two-year mortality was 0.14 and approximately significant, which may favor the CKD-EPI when compared to BIS equation (=0.052).
The CKD-EPI equation showed more accurate estimation of kidney function in the elderly with respect to GFR distribution and predictability of mortality risk.
肾功能下降与不良结局风险增加有关。准确评估肾小球滤过率(GFR)是诊断和治疗肾功能障碍的关键。对于老年人,哪种 GFR 估计方程最佳存在争议。本研究旨在比较四种 GFR 方程在预测卓越长寿(EL)(95 岁以上且健康状况完好的人群)个体 2 年和 6 年死亡率方面的预测有效性和判别能力,这是一个理想的模型,可以解决与寿命和与年龄相关的疾病相关的因素。
本研究使用了来自如皋长寿队列的 6 年 278 名 EL 患者的数据。使用以下四个方程估计基线 GFR:慢性肾脏病流行病学合作(CKD-EPI)方程、改良肾脏病饮食研究(MDRD)方程、柏林倡议研究-1(BIS)方程和改良 MDRD 方程。使用 Cox 比例风险分析测试预测有效性。应用净重新分类改善(NRI)评估基于估计肾小球滤过率(eGFR)的总体重新分类改善。
参与者的平均年龄为 97±2 岁,中位随访时间为 2.6 年。CKD-EPI、MDRD、BIS 和改良 MDRD 方程的中位(IQR)eGFR 分别为 73.9(62.2-77.6)、82.3(67.4-98.6)、56.4(47.9-63.9)和 101.5(83.1-121.6)mL/min/1.73m。多变量调整后,较高的 eGFR 与较低的死亡率相关(对于连续 eGFR,HR1.018,95%CI1.002-1.033,=0.023;HR1.013,95%CI1.002-1.025,=0.022),而其他方程的 eGFR 与死亡率没有任何关联。两年死亡率的 NRI 为 0.14,接近显著,与 BIS 方程相比,CKD-EPI 可能更具优势(=0.052)。
在 GFR 分布和死亡率预测方面,CKD-EPI 方程对老年人肾功能的估计更为准确。