Independent Consultant, Chapel Hill, NC, USA.
Department of Environmental Health, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN, USA.
Environ Int. 2020 Sep;142:105810. doi: 10.1016/j.envint.2020.105810. Epub 2020 Jun 17.
Meta-analysis approaches can be used to assess the human risks due to exposure to environmental chemicals when there are numerous high-quality epidemiologic studies of priority outcomes in a database. However, methodological issues related to how different studies report effect measures and incorporate exposure into their analyses arise that complicate the pooled analysis of multiple studies. As such, there are "pre-analysis" steps that are often necessary to prepare summary data reported in epidemiologic studies for dose-response analysis. This paper uses epidemiologic studies of arsenic-induced health effects as a case example and addresses the issues surrounding the estimation of mean doses from censored dose- or exposure-intervals reported in the literature (e.g., estimation of mean doses from high exposures that are only reported as an open-ended interval), calculation of a common dose metric for use in a dose-response meta-analysis (one that takes into consideration inter-individual variability), and calculation of response "effective counts" that inherently account for confounders. The methods herein may be generalizable to 1) the analysis of other environmental contaminants with a suitable database of epidemiologic studies, and 2) any meta-analytic approach used to pool information across studies. A second companion paper detailing the use of "pre-analyzed" data in a hierarchical Bayesian dose-response model and techniques for extrapolating risks to target populations follows.
当数据库中有大量针对优先结果的高质量流行病学研究时,可以使用荟萃分析方法来评估人类因接触环境化学物质而产生的风险。然而,与不同研究报告效应度量以及将暴露因素纳入分析的方法相关的方法学问题会使多项研究的汇总分析变得复杂。因此,通常需要进行“预分析”步骤,以便为剂量反应分析准备流行病学研究中报告的汇总数据。本文以砷诱发健康影响的流行病学研究为例,讨论了围绕从文献中报告的有截尾剂量或暴露间隔(例如,仅报告为开放式区间的高暴露的平均剂量估计)估算平均剂量、计算用于剂量反应荟萃分析的共同剂量度量(考虑个体间变异性)以及计算固有考虑混杂因素的响应“有效计数”的问题。本文中的方法可以推广到:1)对具有适当流行病学研究数据库的其他环境污染物进行分析;2)用于汇总研究信息的任何荟萃分析方法。接下来的第二篇配套论文详细介绍了如何在分层贝叶斯剂量反应模型中使用“预分析”数据以及将风险外推到目标人群的技术。