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年龄和多种合并症预测 COVID-19 患者的死亡:意大利高血压学会 SARS-RAS 研究的结果。

Age and Multimorbidity Predict Death Among COVID-19 Patients: Results of the SARS-RAS Study of the Italian Society of Hypertension.

机构信息

From the Department of Advanced Biomedical Sciences, Federico II University, Italy (G.I.).

Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Milano-Bicocca, Italy (G.G.).

出版信息

Hypertension. 2020 Aug;76(2):366-372. doi: 10.1161/HYPERTENSIONAHA.120.15324. Epub 2020 Jun 22.

Abstract

Several factors have been proposed to explain the high death rate of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak, including hypertension and hypertension-related treatment with Renin Angiotensin System inhibitors. Also, age and multimorbidity might be confounders. No sufficient data are available to demonstrate their independent role. We designed a cross-sectional, observational, multicenter, nationwide survey in Italy to verify whether renin-angiotensin system inhibitors are related to COVID-19 severe outcomes. We analyzed information from Italian patients diagnosed with COVID-19, admitted in 26 hospitals. One thousand five hundred ninety-one charts (male, 64.1%; 66±0.4 years) were recorded. At least 1 preexisting condition was observed in 73.4% of patients, with hypertension being the most represented (54.9%). One hundred eighty-eight deaths were recorded (11.8%; mean age, 79.6±0.9 years). In nonsurvivors, older age, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, chronic kidney disease, coronary artery diseases, and heart failure were more represented than in survivors. The Charlson Comorbidity Index was significantly higher in nonsurvivors compared with survivors (4.3±0.15 versus 2.6±0.05; <0.001). ACE (angiotensin-converting enzyme) inhibitors, diuretics, and β-blockers were more frequently used in nonsurvivors than in survivors. After correction by multivariate analysis, only age (=0.0001), diabetes mellitus (=0.004), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (=0.011), and chronic kidney disease (=0.004) but not hypertension predicted mortality. Charlson Comorbidity Index, which cumulates age and comorbidities, predicts mortality with an exponential increase in the odds ratio by each point of score. In the COVID-19 outbreak, mortality is predicted by age and the presence of comorbidities. Our data do not support a significant interference of hypertension and antihypertensive therapy on COVID-19 lethality. Registration- URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT04331574.

摘要

几种因素被提出解释 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)爆发的高死亡率,包括高血压和高血压相关的肾素-血管紧张素系统抑制剂治疗。此外,年龄和多种合并症可能是混杂因素。没有足够的数据证明它们的独立作用。我们在意大利设计了一项横断面、观察性、多中心、全国性的调查,以验证肾素-血管紧张素系统抑制剂是否与 COVID-19 的严重结果有关。我们分析了来自意大利 COVID-19 患者的信息,这些患者在 26 家医院接受治疗。记录了 1591 份图表(男性,64.1%;66±0.4 岁)。在 73.4%的患者中观察到至少有 1 种预先存在的疾病,其中高血压最为常见(54.9%)。记录了 188 例死亡(11.8%;平均年龄,79.6±0.9 岁)。在非幸存者中,年龄较大、高血压、糖尿病、慢性阻塞性肺疾病、慢性肾脏病、冠状动脉疾病和心力衰竭比幸存者更为常见。与幸存者相比,非幸存者的 Charlson 合并症指数明显更高(4.3±0.15 与 2.6±0.05;<0.001)。非幸存者比幸存者更频繁地使用血管紧张素转换酶(ACE)抑制剂、利尿剂和β受体阻滞剂。经多变量分析校正后,只有年龄(=0.0001)、糖尿病(=0.004)、慢性阻塞性肺疾病(=0.011)和慢性肾脏病(=0.004),而不是高血压,预测了死亡率。Charlson 合并症指数,通过累加年龄和合并症,预测死亡率,每增加一个评分点,优势比呈指数增加。在 COVID-19 爆发期间,死亡率由年龄和合并症的存在决定。我们的数据不支持高血压和降压治疗对 COVID-19 致死率有显著影响。注册网址:https://www.clinicaltrials.gov;唯一标识符:NCT04331574。

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