Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Occupational Health, McGill University, Montreal, Canada.
J Epidemiol Community Health. 2020 Oct;74(10):778-784. doi: 10.1136/jech-2019-213483. Epub 2020 Jun 25.
Beyond the prevention of illness and death, vaccination may provide additional benefits such as improved educational outcomes. However, there is currently little evidence on this question. Our objective was to estimate the effect of childhood vaccination on learning achievements among primary school children in India.
We used cohort data from the India Human Development Survey. Vaccination status and confounders were measured among children who were at least 12 months old at baseline in 2004-2005. In 2011-2012, the same children completed basic reading, writing and math tests. We estimated the effect of full vaccination during childhood on learning achievements using inverse probability of treatment-weighted logistic regression models and results reported on the risk difference scale. The propensity score included 33 potential community-, household-, mother- and child-level confounders as well as state fixed effects.
Among the 4877 children included in our analysis, 54% were fully vaccinated at baseline, and 54% could read by the age of 8-11 years. The estimated effect of full vaccination on learning achievements ranged from 4 to 6 percentage points, representing relative increases ranging from 6% to 12%. Bias analysis suggested that our observed effects could be explained by unmeasured confounding, but only in the case of strong associations with the treatment and outcome.
These results support the hypothesis that vaccination has lasting effects on children's learning achievements. Further work is needed to confirm findings and elucidate the potential mechanisms linking vaccines to educational outcomes.
除了预防疾病和死亡,疫苗接种还可能带来其他益处,如提高教育成果。然而,目前关于这个问题的证据很少。我们的目的是估计儿童期疫苗接种对印度小学生学习成绩的影响。
我们使用了印度人类发展调查的队列数据。在 2004-2005 年基线时至少 12 个月大的儿童中测量了疫苗接种状况和混杂因素。在 2011-2012 年,相同的儿童完成了基本的阅读、写作和数学测试。我们使用逆概率治疗加权逻辑回归模型估计儿童时期完全接种疫苗对学习成绩的影响,并报告风险差异尺度上的结果。倾向评分包括 33 个潜在的社区、家庭、母亲和儿童水平混杂因素以及州固定效应。
在我们的分析中,共有 4877 名儿童,其中 54%在基线时完全接种疫苗,54%在 8-11 岁时能够阅读。完全接种疫苗对学习成绩的估计影响在 4 到 6 个百分点之间,代表相对增加 6%到 12%。偏差分析表明,我们观察到的影响可能是由未测量的混杂因素引起的,但只有在与治疗和结果有很强关联的情况下才会如此。
这些结果支持疫苗接种对儿童学习成绩有持久影响的假设。需要进一步的工作来证实这一发现,并阐明将疫苗与教育成果联系起来的潜在机制。