Department of General Paediatrics, Paediatric Internal Medicine, Rheumatology and Infectious Diseases, National Referee Centre for Rheumatic, Autoimmune and Systemic Diseases in Children, Robert Debré University Hospital, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris, Paris, France; Université de Paris, INSERM UMR 1123, ECEVE, Paris, France; Association Clinique et Thérapeutique Infantile du Val-de-Marne, Créteil, France; Université de Paris, UFR de Médecine Paris Nord, Paris, France.
Department of General Paediatrics, Paediatric Internal Medicine, Rheumatology and Infectious Diseases, National Referee Centre for Rheumatic, Autoimmune and Systemic Diseases in Children, Robert Debré University Hospital, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris, Paris, France; Université de Paris, UFR de Médecine Paris Nord, Paris, France.
Lancet Child Adolesc Health. 2020 Sep;4(9):662-668. doi: 10.1016/S2352-4642(20)30175-9. Epub 2020 Jul 2.
Kawasaki disease is an acute febrile systemic childhood vasculitis, which is suspected to be triggered by respiratory viral infections. We aimed to examine whether the ongoing COVID-19 epidemic, caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), is associated with an increase in the incidence of Kawasaki disease.
We did a quasi-experimental interrupted time series analysis over the past 15 years in a tertiary paediatric centre in the Paris region, a French epicentre of the COVID-19 outbreak. The main outcome was the number of Kawasaki disease cases over time, estimated by quasi-Poisson regression. In the same centre, we recorded the number of hospital admissions from the emergency department (2005-2020) and the results of nasopharyngeal multiplex PCR to identify respiratory pathogens (2017-2020). These data were compared with daily hospital admissions due to confirmed COVID-19 in the same region, recorded by Public Health France.
Between Dec 1, 2005, and May 20, 2020, we included 230 patients with Kawasaki disease. The median number of Kawasaki disease hospitalisations estimated by the quasi-Poisson model was 1·2 per month (IQR 1·1-1·3). In April, 2020, we identified a rapid increase of Kawasaki disease that was related to SARS-CoV-2 (six cases per month; 497% increase [95% CI 72-1082]; p=0·0011), starting 2 weeks after the peak of the COVID-19 epidemic. SARS-CoV-2 was the only virus circulating intensely during this period, and was found in eight (80%) of ten patients with Kawasaki disease since April 15 (SARS-CoV-2-positive PCR or serology). A second peak of hospital admissions due to Kawasaki disease was observed in December, 2009 (six cases per month; 365% increase ([31-719]; p=0.0053), concomitant with the influenza A H1N1 pandemic.
Our study further suggests that viral respiratory infections, including SAR-CoV-2, could be triggers for Kawasaki disease and indicates the potential timing of an increase in incidence of the disease in COVID-19 epidemics. Health-care providers should be prepared to manage an influx of patients with severe Kawasaki disease, particularly in countries where the peak of COVID-19 has recently been reached.
French National Research Agency.
川崎病是一种急性发热性全身性儿童血管炎,疑似由呼吸道病毒感染引发。我们旨在研究由严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒 2(SARS-CoV-2)引起的持续的 COVID-19 疫情是否与川崎病发病率的增加有关。
我们在巴黎地区的一家三级儿科中心进行了过去 15 年的准实验性中断时间序列分析,该中心是 COVID-19 爆发的法国中心之一。主要结局是通过准泊松回归估计的随时间变化的川崎病病例数。在同一中心,我们记录了因疑似 COVID-19 而从急诊入院的病例数(2005-2020 年)以及鼻咽部多重 PCR 检测呼吸道病原体的结果(2017-2020 年)。这些数据与法国公共卫生署记录的同一地区因确诊 COVID-19 而住院的每日人数进行了比较。
在 2005 年 12 月 1 日至 2020 年 5 月 20 日期间,我们纳入了 230 例川崎病患者。准泊松模型估计的川崎病住院中位数为每月 1.2 例(IQR 1.1-1.3)。在 2020 年 4 月,我们发现川崎病迅速增加,这与 SARS-CoV-2 有关(每月 6 例;增加 497%[95%CI 72-1082];p=0.0011),在 COVID-19 疫情高峰期后两周开始。在此期间,SARS-CoV-2 是唯一大量传播的病毒,在 4 月 15 日以来的 10 例川崎病患者中,有 8 例(80%)发现(SARS-CoV-2 阳性 PCR 或血清学)。2009 年 12 月,川崎病因第二波住院人数增加(每月 6 例;增加 365%[31-719];p=0.0053),与甲型 H1N1 流感大流行同时发生。
我们的研究进一步表明,呼吸道病毒感染,包括 SARS-CoV-2,可能是川崎病的诱因,并提示 COVID-19 疫情中疾病发病率增加的潜在时间。卫生保健提供者应做好准备,以应对大量严重川崎病患者的涌入,特别是在最近达到 COVID-19 高峰的国家。
法国国家研究署。