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考察亚洲经济体中财政政策工具对环境质量的非对称影响。

Examining the asymmetric effects of fiscal policy instruments on environmental quality in Asian economies.

机构信息

School of Economics, Quaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad, Pakistan.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2020 Oct;27(30):38287-38299. doi: 10.1007/s11356-020-09859-x. Epub 2020 Jul 4.

Abstract

Empirical studies pertaining to the effects of fiscal policy instruments on environmental quality have provided mixed evidence. We consider the asymmetric effects of fiscal policy instruments on environmental quality for the top ten Asian carbon emitters over the period 1981-2018. We go beyond the literature and claim that the effects could be asymmetric. More specifically, we found that a positive shock in government expenditure will worsen environmental quality in Malaysia, UAE, Thailand, Indonesia, Turkey, Iran, India, and China, and improve it in Japan. On the other hand, we found that cutting government expenditure will improve environmental quality in these economies and will worsen only in Japan. Moreover, a higher government income tax revenue uniquely increases the government's spending that increases the carbon emissions in Malaysia, UAE, Thailand, Indonesia, Turkey, Iran, India, and China, and decrease in Japan. The negative shock of government revenue has adverse results on carbon emissions in these economies. However, short-run asymmetric effects translate to long-run effects in most Asian economies.

摘要

有关财政政策工具对环境质量影响的实证研究提供了混合证据。我们考虑了财政政策工具对 1981-2018 年期间十大亚洲碳排放国环境质量的非对称影响。我们超越了文献,声称这种影响可能是非对称的。更具体地说,我们发现政府支出的正向冲击将使马来西亚、阿联酋、泰国、印度尼西亚、土耳其、伊朗、印度和中国的环境质量恶化,并使日本的环境质量改善。另一方面,我们发现削减政府支出将改善这些经济体的环境质量,而仅在日本会恶化。此外,较高的政府所得税收入会增加政府支出,从而增加马来西亚、阿联酋、泰国、印度尼西亚、土耳其、伊朗、印度和中国的碳排放,而在日本则会减少。政府收入的负冲击对这些经济体的碳排放产生了不利影响。然而,在大多数亚洲经济体中,短期非对称效应转化为长期效应。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f35c/7335231/069e6c778499/11356_2020_9859_Fig1a_HTML.jpg

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