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新诊断上皮性卵巢癌肝转移的患病率、相关因素、发展及预后:一项基于监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)数据库的大型人群研究

The Prevalence and associated Factors for Liver Metastases, Development and Prognosis in newly diagnosed Epithelial Ovarian Cancer: A large Population-Based Study from the SEER Database.

作者信息

Hussain Iftikhar, Xu Jiaqin, Deng Kui, Wang Ce, Huang Yue, Li Shuang, Li Kang

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Harbin Medical University, Harbin 150086, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

J Cancer. 2020 Jun 8;11(16):4861-4869. doi: 10.7150/jca.40590. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

Primary Epithelial Ovarian Cancer (EOC), a malignant gynecologic disease, is considered one of the leading causes of mortality in women. The development of Liver Metastases (LM) in women with primary ovarian cancer commonly results in a poorer prognosis. This retrospective population-based study aims to measure the prevalence, prognostic factors, and associated risk factors for epithelial ovarian cancer patients with liver metastases (EOCLM). The current study cohort of patients based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database identified with primary ovarian cancer between the years 2010 and 2016. A chi-square test was employed to compare Metastatic differences among demographic and clinical factors. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analysis models were used to predict related prognostic factors for LM development. 7-year Kaplan-Meier curves were applied to compare the survival patterns of patients with and without LM. The Multivariable Cox regression model was used to estimate potential risk factors associated with LM related deaths. 33895 eligible primary EOC patients were identified. Among them 2635 (7.77%) patients were initially diagnosed with de novo LM, and 31260 (92.23%) without metastases disease to any site. Non-serous histology type; Malignant Brenner Carcinoma, NOS (OR 1.94; CI: 1.39-2.71; <0.001), T3/T1 stage (OR 5.65; CI: 3.87-8.24; <0.001), N1/N0 stage (OR 1.67; CI: 1.43-4.95; <0.001), grade; G3/G1 (OR 2.16; CI: 1.29-3.59, <0.001), and cancer antigen-125; Elevated/Normal (OR 1.79; CI: 1.19-2.69, <0.001) were significantly associated with LM occurrence. The median survival of EOC patients with LM was 12.0 (95% CI: 11.0-14.0; <0.001) months. Multivariable cox regression showed being unmarried (HR 1.16; CI: 1.04-1.30; =0.001), non-serous histology types, Mucinous (HR 2.38; CI: 1.82-3.12; <0.001), Clear cell (HR 1.83; CI: 1.32-2.55; <0.001), Malignant Brenner Carcinoma, NOS (HR 1.44; CI:1.23-1.66; <0.001), Carcinosarcoma NOS, (HR 1.44; CI: 1.11-1.88; <0.001) and radiotherapy (HR 1.52; CI: 1.12-2.06; <0.001), were positively related to death. Chemotherapy (HR 0.30; CI: 1.12-2.06; <0.001) and surgery (HR 0.34; CI: 0.29-0.39; <0.001) were related with reduced rate of death. The retrospective cohort study showed that women with primary EOC had some high-risk factors associated with LM. LM can intensely decrease the survival of EOC patients. The findings of our research provided estimates for LM occurrence prediction and potential prognostic factors of EOC with de novo LM development. These findings can be useful for follow-up strategies, guidelines for screening, and treatment of EOCLM.

摘要

原发性上皮性卵巢癌(EOC)是一种恶性妇科疾病,被认为是女性死亡的主要原因之一。原发性卵巢癌女性发生肝转移(LM)通常会导致预后较差。这项基于人群的回顾性研究旨在衡量上皮性卵巢癌肝转移患者(EOCLM)的患病率、预后因素和相关危险因素。本研究的患者队列基于监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)数据库,确定了2010年至2016年间患有原发性卵巢癌的患者。采用卡方检验比较人口统计学和临床因素之间的转移差异。使用单变量和多变量逻辑回归分析模型来预测LM发生的相关预后因素。应用7年Kaplan-Meier曲线比较有和无LM患者的生存模式。多变量Cox回归模型用于估计与LM相关死亡相关的潜在危险因素。共确定了33895例符合条件的原发性EOC患者。其中,2635例(7.77%)患者最初被诊断为新发LM,31260例(92.23%)无任何部位转移疾病。非浆液性组织学类型;恶性布伦纳癌,NOS(OR 1.94;CI:1.39 - 2.71;<0.001),T3/T1期(OR 5.65;CI:3.87 - 8.24;<0.001),N1/N0期(OR 1.67;CI:1.43 - 4.95;<0.001),分级;G3/G1(OR 2.16;CI:1.29 - 3.59,<0.001),以及癌抗原-125;升高/正常(OR 1.79;CI:1.19 - 2.69,<0.001)与LM发生显著相关。EOCLM患者的中位生存期为12.0(95%CI:11.0 - 14.0;<0.001)个月。多变量Cox回归显示未婚(HR 1.16;CI:1.04 - 1.30;=0.001)、非浆液性组织学类型、黏液性(HR 2.38;CI:1.82 - 3.12;<0.001)、透明细胞(HR 1.83;CI:1.32 - 2.55;<0.001)、恶性布伦纳癌,NOS(HR 1.44;CI:1.23 - 1.66;<0.001)、肉瘤样癌,NOS(HR 1.44;CI:1.11 - 1.88;<0.001)和放疗(HR 1.52;CI:1.12 - 2.06;<0.001)与死亡呈正相关。化疗(HR 0.30;CI:1.12 - 2.06;<0.001)和手术(HR 0.34;CI:0.29 - 0.39;<0.001)与死亡率降低相关。这项回顾性队列研究表明,原发性EOC女性有一些与LM相关的高危因素。LM会严重降低EOC患者的生存率。我们的研究结果为LM发生预测和新发LM的EOC潜在预后因素提供了估计。这些发现可用于EOCLM的随访策略以及筛查和治疗指南。

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