School of Economics and Management, Northeast Normal University, Changchun, Jilin, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2020 Nov;27(31):39560-39571. doi: 10.1007/s11356-020-09304-z. Epub 2020 Jul 10.
This paper has empirically explored the impact of macroeconomic and financial development on CO emissions by utilizing a novel dynamic simulated ARDL model for annual time series data from 1982 to 2018 for Pakistan. The results of a novel dynamic simulated ARDL disclosed that the growth of stock market, FDI, economic growth, and consumption of oil wield a positive impact on CO emission, while domestic credit exerts a negative effect on CO emission both in the short and the long run in Pakistan. The stock market development and domestic credit wield a significant influence on carbon dioxide emission in Pakistan both in the long and the short run. FDI exerts significant impact only in the long run, while economic growth and consumption of oil wield significant impact only in the short run on CO emission in Pakistan. This study opens up new visions for the economy of Pakistan to sustain financial and economic growth by protecting environment from pollution through its efficient national environmental policy, fiscal policy, and monetary policy.
本文利用新颖的动态模拟 ARDL 模型,对 1982 年至 2018 年巴基斯坦的年度时间序列数据进行了实证研究,探讨了宏观经济和金融发展对二氧化碳排放的影响。新颖的动态模拟 ARDL 的结果表明,股票市场、外国直接投资、经济增长和石油消费的增长对 CO 排放产生了积极影响,而国内信贷在短期和长期内都对 CO 排放产生了负面影响。股票市场发展和国内信贷对巴基斯坦二氧化碳排放的短期和长期都有显著影响。外国直接投资仅在长期内具有显著影响,而经济增长和石油消费仅在短期内对巴基斯坦的 CO 排放具有显著影响。本研究为巴基斯坦经济提供了新的视角,通过其有效的国家环境政策、财政政策和货币政策,从污染中保护环境,从而实现金融和经济的可持续增长。