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垂直山地分异对中国岷江上游泥石流发生的各自影响。

Respective influence of vertical mountain differentiation on debris flow occurrence in the Upper Min River, China.

机构信息

Faculty of Geosciences and Environmental Engineering, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, 611756, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2020 Jul 16;10(1):11689. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-68590-2.

Abstract

The generation, formation, and development of debris flow are closely related to the vertical climate, vegetation, soil, lithology and topography of the mountain area. Taking in the upper reaches of Min River (the Upper Min River) as the study area, combined with GIS and RS technology, the Geo-detector (GEO) method was used to quantitatively analyze the respective influence of 9 factors on debris flow occurrence. We identify from a list of 5 variables that explain 53.92%% of the total variance. Maximum daily rainfall and slope are recognized as the primary driver (39.56%) of the spatiotemporal variability of debris flow activity. Interaction detector indicates that the interaction between the vertical differentiation factors of the mountainous areas in the study area is nonlinear enhancement. Risk detector shows that the debris flow accumulation area and propagation area in the Upper Min River are mainly distributed in the arid valleys of subtropical and warm temperate zones. The study results of this paper will enrich the scientific basis of prevention and reduction of debris flow hazards.

摘要

泥石流的产生、形成和发展与山区的垂直气候、植被、土壤、岩性和地形密切相关。以岷江上游(上游岷江)为研究区,结合 GIS 和 RS 技术,运用地理探测器(GEO)方法定量分析了 9 个因素对泥石流发生的各自影响。我们从 5 个变量中确定了 53.92%的总方差解释。最大日降雨量和坡度被认为是泥石流活动时空变化的主要驱动因素(39.56%)。交互探测器表明,研究区山区垂直分异因素之间的相互作用是非线性增强的。风险探测器表明,上游岷江的泥石流堆积区和传播区主要分布在亚热带和暖温带干旱河谷。本文的研究结果将丰富泥石流灾害防治的科学依据。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b430/7366674/963a0a09af38/41598_2020_68590_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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