Department of Medicine and Community Health Sciences, Boston School of Medicine and Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts.
Department of Medicine, Boston School of Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts.
J Surg Res. 2020 Dec;256:96-102. doi: 10.1016/j.jss.2020.06.011. Epub 2020 Jul 17.
Rural counties in the United States have higher firearm suicide rates and opioid overdoses than urban counties. We sought to determine whether rural counties can be grouped based on these "diseases of despair."
Age-adjusted firearm suicide death rates per 100,000; drug-related death rates per 100,000; homicide rate per 100,000, opioid prescribing rate, %black, %Native American, and %veteran population, median home price, violent crime rates per 100,000, primary economic dependency (nonspecialized, farming, mining, manufacturing, government, and recreation), and economic variables (low education, low employment, retirement destination, persistent poverty, and persistent child poverty) were obtained for all rural counties and evaluated with hierarchical clustering using complete linkage.
We identified five distinct rural county clusters. The firearm suicide rates in the clusters were 5.9, 6.8, 6.4, 8.5, and 3.8 per 100,000, respectively. The counties in cluster 1 were poor, mining dependent, with population loss, cluster 2 were nonspecialized economies, with high opioid prescription rates, cluster 3 were manufacturing and government economies with moderate unemployment, cluster 4 were recreational economies with substantial veterans and Native American populations, high median home price, drug death rates, opioid prescribing, and violent crime, and cluster 5 were farming economies, with high population loss, low median home price, low rates of drug mortality, opioid prescribing, and violent crime. Cluster 4 counties were spatially adjacent to urban counties.
More than 300 counties currently face a disproportionate burden of diseases of despair. Interventions to reduce firearm suicides should be community-based and include programs to reduce other diseases of despair.
美国农村县的枪支自杀率和阿片类药物过量率高于城市县。我们试图确定是否可以根据这些“绝望疾病”对农村县进行分组。
年龄调整后的每 10 万人 firearmsuicide 死亡率;每 10 万人的药物相关死亡率;每 10 万人的杀人率;阿片类药物处方率,%黑人,%美国原住民,%退伍军人人口,中位数房价,每 10 万人的暴力犯罪率,主要经济依存关系(非专业化、农业、采矿业、制造业、政府和娱乐业)以及经济变量(低教育水平、低就业率、退休目的地、持续贫困和持续儿童贫困),对所有农村县进行评估,并使用完全链接的层次聚类进行评估。
我们确定了五个不同的农村县集群。集群中的 firearmsuicide 率分别为每 10 万人 5.9、6.8、6.4、8.5 和 3.8。集群 1 中的县贫穷,依赖矿业,人口流失,集群 2 是非专业化经济,阿片类药物处方率高,集群 3 是制造业和政府经济,失业率中等,集群 4 是娱乐经济,退伍军人和美国原住民人口众多,中位数房价高,药物死亡率,阿片类药物处方和暴力犯罪,集群 5 是农业经济,人口流失率高,中位数房价低,药物死亡率,阿片类药物处方和暴力犯罪率低。集群 4 的县与城市县相邻。
目前有 300 多个县面临着不成比例的绝望疾病负担。减少 firearmsuicides 的干预措施应该以社区为基础,并包括减少其他绝望疾病的计划。