Predictive value of discharge destination for 90-day outcomes among ischemic stroke patients eligible for endovascular treatment: Post-hoc analysis of DEFUSE 3.

BACKGROUND

The endovascular treatment (ET) for acute ischemic stroke (AIS) is increasing among eligible patients. To help address care quality, administrative data sets are utilized but do not usually include formal outcome scales. We explore the predictive ability of discharge destination from acute hospitalizations for long-term disability among AIS patients eligible for ET within a clinical trial.

METHODS

We analyzed publicly available data from the DEFUSE 3 (Endovascular Therapy Following Imaging Evaluation for Ischemic Stroke) trial. We evaluated patients who survived beyond the time of discharge from their acute hospitalizations. We calculated positive and negative predictive values and accompanying likelihood ratios for patients discharged to home, inpatient rehabilitation facility (IRF), or subacute nursing facility (SNF) for unfavorable outcome as defined by modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores ≥3 at 90-days.

RESULTS

Our final analysis included 127 patients (median age 67 [23-89] years, 51.2% men). There were 23.6% patients discharged home, 53.5% to IRF, and 22.8% to SNF. Approximately 61% of patients had 90-day post-stroke mRS scores ≥3. Patients discharged to SNF had the highest positive predictive value (93.1%) and positive likelihood ratio (8.77 [CI 95% 2.18-35.25]) for unfavorable outcome. Discharge to home had the highest negative likelihood ratio (2.09 [CI 95% 1.54-2.83]) for unfavorable outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

Among AIS patients eligible for ET within the DEFUSE 3 trial, discharge destination can provide high predictive value of 90-day functional outcomes. A discharge to SNF is highly predictive of long-term unfavorable outcomes.