Davis-Unger J, Pajor E A, Schwartzkopf-Genswein K, Marti S, Dorin C, Spackman E, Orsel K
University of Calgary, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Department of Production Animal Health, Calgary, Canada.
Agriculture and Agri-food Canada, Lethbridge Research and Development Center, Lethbridge, Canada.
Transl Anim Sci. 2017 Dec 1;1(4):467-479. doi: 10.2527/tas2017.0052. eCollection 2017 Dec.
Lameness is an important health issue in feedlot cattle; however, there is a paucity of information regarding its economic impact. Decision tree models are excellent tools for assessing costs of disease such as the net return (net return = benefit - cost). Models were developed using expert opinion, literature and retrospective feedlot data provided by Vet-Agri Health Services (VAHS, Airdrie, Alberta, Canada) collected from 2005 to 2015 on individually treated cattle ( = 30,940) from 28 feedlots. The objective was to estimate net return of various lameness diagnoses and impacts of cattle type, season of treatment, and extreme high and low cattle prices. Cattle were diagnosed as lame according to the following categories: foot rot, foot rot in heavy cattle (BW > 363 kg at treatment), injury, lame with no visible swelling, and joint infection. Records consisted of arrival and treatment weight, cost of treatment, and cattle deaths. Records included cattle types classified as: fall calves (heifer and steer), winter calves (heifer and steer) and yearling cattle (heifer and steer). Lastly, variables ADG, days on feed (DOF), and Season (spring, summer, fall, and winter) were created. Models estimated net return using cattle slaughter prices for healthy cattle that reached a slaughter weight of 635 kg and for three possible outcomes for each diagnosis after final treatment: cattle that recovered after treatment and reached a slaughter weight of 635 kg; cattle that were removed before they reached slaughter weight; or cattle that died. Compared to undiagnosed cattle with 1.36 kg/d ADG, cattle diagnosed with foot rot and foot rot heavy cattle had the highest ADG until first treatment (1.14 and 1.57 kg/d, respectively) and differed significantly ( < 0.05) compared to cattle diagnosed with injuries (0.87 kg/d), lame with no visible swelling (0.64 kg/d), and joint infections (0.53 kg/d). Yearling steers had the most positive returns compared to all other cattle types. Cattle with lighter arrival weight had lower ADG and increased economic losses after treatment compared to heavier weighted cattle on arrival. Based on average slaughter prices over a 10-yr period for healthy cattle, return was $690. Return after final treatment for cattle with foot rot was $568, foot rot in heavy cattle was $695, and injury was $259. However, joint infections and lame with no visible swelling had negative returns of -$286 and -$701, respectively.
跛行是育肥牛群中的一个重要健康问题;然而,关于其经济影响的信息却很匮乏。决策树模型是评估疾病成本(如净收益,净收益=收益-成本)的优秀工具。模型是利用专家意见、文献以及加拿大艾伯塔省艾尔德里的兽医农业健康服务公司(VAHS)提供的回顾性育肥牛场数据开发的,这些数据收集于2005年至2015年,涉及28个育肥牛场中接受个体治疗的牛(n = 30940头)。目的是估计各种跛行诊断的净收益以及牛的类型、治疗季节和牛价极端高低的影响。根据以下类别将牛诊断为跛行:腐蹄病、重型牛(治疗时体重>363千克)的腐蹄病、损伤、无明显肿胀的跛行以及关节感染。记录包括入场和治疗体重、治疗成本以及牛的死亡情况。记录中的牛类型分为:秋季犊牛(小母牛和公牛)、冬季犊牛(小母牛和公牛)以及周岁牛(小母牛和公牛)。最后,创建了变量平均日增重(ADG)、饲养天数(DOF)和季节(春季、夏季、秋季和冬季)。模型使用达到635千克屠宰体重的健康牛的屠宰价格以及最终治疗后每种诊断的三种可能结果来估计净收益:治疗后康复并达到635千克屠宰体重的牛;未达到屠宰体重前被淘汰的牛;或死亡的牛。与未诊断的日增重为1.36千克/天的牛相比,诊断为腐蹄病和重型牛腐蹄病的牛在首次治疗前的日增重最高(分别为1.14千克/天和1.57千克/天),与诊断为损伤(0.87千克/天)、无明显肿胀的跛行(0.64千克/天)和关节感染(0.53千克/天)的牛相比差异显著(P<0.05)。与所有其他牛类型相比,周岁公牛的收益最为可观。与入场时体重较重的牛相比,入场体重较轻的牛日增重较低,治疗后的经济损失增加。根据10年期间健康牛的平均屠宰价格,收益为690美元。腐蹄病牛最终治疗后的收益为568美元,重型牛腐蹄病为695美元,损伤为259美元。然而,关节感染和无明显肿胀的跛行的收益分别为负286美元和负701美元。