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记录并验证喜马拉雅山西部一个少数民族社区对气候变化的认知。

Documentation and validation of climate change perception of an ethnic community of the western Himalaya.

机构信息

High Altitude Biology Division, CSIR-Institute of Himalayan Bioresource Technology, 176061, Palampur, HP, India.

Department of Botany, Panjab University, Chandigarh, 160014, India.

出版信息

Environ Monit Assess. 2020 Jul 31;192(8):552. doi: 10.1007/s10661-020-08512-x.

Abstract

The high-altitude regions of Himalaya are among the best indicators of climate change yet noticeable for the lack of climate monitoring stations. However, they support ethnic communities whose livelihood activities are climate driven. Consequently, these communities are keen observers of the same and documenting their perception on changing climate is now an important area of global research. Therefore, the present study was conducted with the prime objective of documenting the climate change perception of Bhangalis-a resident community of western Himalaya, and analyzing variation in their perceptions in relation to age and gender. For this, respondent surveys (household, n = 430; individual interviews, n = 240) were carried out and the collected data were subjected to statistical analyses. The study also validated the perception of Bhangalis using the available weather data (1974-2017) through the Mann-Kendall test. The results reveal that Bhangalis perceived 11 indicators of changing climate, of which decrease in snowfall was the most prominent (reported by ~ 97% of the respondents). The perceptions varied between the two genders with males having significantly higher proportion of responses for all the 11 indicators. Similarly, differences in perception among the age groups were also observed, elderly people reported higher proportion of climate change indicators as compared to respondents of lower age. Notably, patterns of temperature and rainfall perceptions by the Bhangalis agreed with the trends of meteorological data. This highlights the importance of the study in documenting knowledge of ethnic communities especially from areas that lack monitoring stations. It argues for involving them in climate change programs.

摘要

喜马拉雅山的高海拔地区是气候变化的最佳指标之一,但由于缺乏气候监测站,这些地区的气候变化仍不明显。然而,这些地区却支撑着以气候为驱动的生计活动的少数民族社区。因此,这些社区是气候变化的敏锐观察者,记录他们对气候变化的看法现在是全球研究的一个重要领域。因此,本研究的主要目的是记录喜马拉雅山西部居民邦加利人的气候变化感知,并分析他们在年龄和性别方面对气候变化感知的差异。为此,进行了受访者调查(家庭,n=430;个人访谈,n=240),并对收集到的数据进行了统计分析。该研究还使用 1974-2017 年的可用天气数据(通过 Mann-Kendall 检验)验证了邦加利人的感知。研究结果表明,邦加利人感知到了 11 种气候变化指标,其中降雪减少最为突出(约 97%的受访者报告了这一现象)。这两种性别之间的感知存在差异,男性对所有 11 种指标的反应比例明显更高。同样,不同年龄组之间的感知也存在差异,与年龄较低的受访者相比,老年人报告的气候变化指标比例更高。值得注意的是,邦加利人对温度和降雨量的感知模式与气象数据的趋势一致。这凸显了该研究在记录少数民族社区知识方面的重要性,尤其是在缺乏监测站的地区。该研究呼吁让他们参与到气候变化项目中来。

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