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能否利用蒙特卡罗模拟将环境足迹与生产和消费联系起来?以猪肉为例的案例研究。

Can we associate environmental footprints with production and consumption using Monte Carlo simulation? Case study with pork meat.

机构信息

Institute of Food Technology and Biochemistry, Faculty of Agriculture, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Republic of Serbia.

Institute of Animal Science, Faculty of Agriculture, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Republic of Serbia.

出版信息

J Sci Food Agric. 2021 Feb;101(3):960-969. doi: 10.1002/jsfa.10704. Epub 2020 Sep 17.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Growing population demands more animal protein products. Pork remains one of the traditional and relatively sustainable types of meats for human consumption. In this paper, life-cycle assessment was performed using data from 12 pig farms. In parallel, a survey on the consumption of pork meat products was conducted analyzing responses from 806 pork meat consumers. The study aims to provide a quantitative calculation of six environmental footprints associated with the consumption of pork meat products in Serbia by analyzing data from pig farms and a pork meat consumption survey.

RESULTS

Results revealed that pork meat production is responsible for the emission of 3.50 kg CO2 kg live weight, 16.1 MJ kg , 0.151 mg R11 kg , 31.257 g SO kg , 55.030 g PO kg and 3.641 kg 1.4 dB kg . Further calculations reveal that weekly emissions of various environmental potentials associated with an average consumer of pork meat products in Serbia are estimated at values of 4.032 kg CO week , 18.504 MJ week , 0.17435 mg R11 week , 35.972 g SO week and 63.466 g PO week .

CONCLUSIONS

Results show that, on the one hand, pork products are responsible for environmental production impacts that mainly occur on farms while, on the other hand, consumption is characterized with high meat inclusion rates. As a leverage strategy it is recommended for producers to concentrate on lowering the production impacts rather than trying to reach consumers for sustainability conciseness. © 2020 Society of Chemical Industry.

摘要

背景

不断增长的人口需求更多的动物蛋白产品。猪肉仍然是人类消费的传统且相对可持续的肉类之一。本文使用来自 12 个养猪场的数据进行了生命周期评估,同时对猪肉制品的消费进行了调查,分析了 806 名猪肉消费者的回答。本研究旨在通过分析来自养猪场的数据和猪肉消费调查,为塞尔维亚猪肉消费相关的六种环境足迹提供定量计算。

结果

结果表明,猪肉生产导致 3.50 公斤 CO2 公斤活重、16.1 兆焦耳公斤、0.151 毫克 R11 公斤、31.257 克 SO 公斤、55.030 克 PO 公斤和 3.641 公斤 1.4 dB 公斤的排放。进一步的计算表明,塞尔维亚猪肉消费者每周与各种环境潜力相关的排放量估计值为 4.032 公斤 CO 周、18.504 兆焦耳周、0.17435 毫克 R11 周、35.972 克 SO 周和 63.466 克 PO 周。

结论

结果表明,一方面,猪肉产品对农场主要发生的环境生产影响负责,另一方面,消费的特点是高肉类含量。作为一种杠杆策略,建议生产者集中精力降低生产影响,而不是为了可持续性而试图接触消费者。 © 2020 英国化学工业学会。

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