Prediction of posttreatment drinking outcome in a 2-year out-patient alcoholic treatment program. A follow-up study.

Fifty alcoholics who attended a 2-year out-patient treatment program with standardized evaluations every third month were followed-up 2 years after completion of the program. One patient refused to be followed-up and four were dead. Corroboration was available in 78% of the cases. The number of abuse days from the second half-year of therapy and forward was strongly related to the number of abuse days during the follow-up period as were ratings both of drinking goal fulfillment and fulfillment of other treatment goals at termination of the treatment period. On the contrary initial characteristics and background data as well as the number of abuse days during the first half-year were not related to number of abuse days during the follow-up period. Our findings indicate that improvement during long term out-patient treatment for alcoholism is stable during the following 2 years with a socially stable sample.