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洪都拉斯圣佩德罗苏拉都会区2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)逆转录聚合酶链反应确诊病例的流行病学、结局及相关因素

Epidemiology, Outcomes, and Associated Factors of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Reverse Transcriptase Polymerase Chain Reaction-Confirmed Cases in the San Pedro Sula Metropolitan Area, Honduras.

作者信息

Zuniga-Moya Julio C, Norwood Dalton Argean, Romero Reyes Luis Enrique, Barrueto Saavedra Emilio, Diaz Roxana, Fajardo Wendy Carolina, Pineda Allan, Torres Diana, Barahona Rodolfo, Leiva Said Omar, Hernandez Pastora X, Silva Hector, Leiva Carlos Raul, Estrada Lourdes, Barahona-Campos Alma, Gordon Aubree

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.

Hospital de Occidente, Santa Rosa de Copan, Honduras.

出版信息

Clin Infect Dis. 2021 May 18;72(10):e476-e483. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciaa1188.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) pandemic has caused substantial morbidity and mortality worldwide. Few reports exist in Latin America, a current epicenter of transmission. Here, we aim to describe the epidemiology and outcomes associated with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Honduras.

METHODS

Baseline clinical and epidemiological information of SARS-CoV-2 reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction-confirmed cases detected between 17 March-4 May in the San Pedro Sula Metropolitan area was collected; for hospitalized cases, clinical data were abstracted. Logistic regression models were fit to determine the factors associated with hospitalization.

RESULTS

We identified 877 COVID-19 cases, of which 25% (n = 220) were hospitalized. The 19-44-year age group (57.8%) and males (61.3%) were predominant in overall COVID-19 cases. Of the cases, 34% (n = 299) had at least 1 preexisting medical condition. Individuals aged 45-69 years (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 4.05; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.85-5.76) or ≥70 years (aOR = 9.12; 95% CI, 5.24-15.86), of male sex (aOR = 1.72; 95% CI, 1.21-2.44), and those with a preexisting condition (aOR = 2.12; 95% CI, 1.43-3.14) had higher odds of hospitalization. Of inpatients, 50% were hospitalized more than 7 days. The median length of hospitalization was 13 days (interquartile range [IQR], 8-29) among individuals aged 19-44 years, and 17 days (IQR, 11-24.6) among those aged 45-69. Of the fatal cases, 42% occurred among adults under 60 years old.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings show that a high proportion of COVID-19 cases in Honduras occurred among younger adults, who also constituted a significant proportion of severe and fatal cases. Preexisting conditions were associated with severe outcomes independently from age and were highly prevalent in Honduran COVID-19 cases.

摘要

背景

严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2(SARS-CoV-2)大流行已在全球范围内造成大量发病和死亡。在当前的传播中心拉丁美洲,相关报告较少。在此,我们旨在描述洪都拉斯2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)的流行病学特征及相关结局。

方法

收集了3月17日至5月4日在圣佩德罗苏拉都会区检测到的SARS-CoV-2逆转录聚合酶链反应确诊病例的基线临床和流行病学信息;对于住院病例,提取了临床数据。采用逻辑回归模型来确定与住院相关的因素。

结果

我们共识别出877例COVID-19病例,其中25%(n = 220)住院治疗。在所有COVID-19病例中,19至44岁年龄组(57.8%)和男性(61.3%)占主导。在这些病例中,34%(n = 299)至少有一种基础疾病。年龄在45至69岁(调整优势比[aOR]=4.05;95%置信区间[CI],2.85至5.76)或≥70岁(aOR = 9.12;95% CI,5.24至15.86)、男性(aOR = 1.72;95% CI,1.21至2.44)以及有基础疾病的患者(aOR = 2.12;95% CI,1.43至3.14)住院几率更高。住院患者中,50%住院超过7天。19至44岁患者的住院中位数时长为13天(四分位间距[IQR],8至29),45至69岁患者为17天(IQR,11至24.6)。在死亡病例中,42%发生在60岁以下成年人中。

结论

我们的研究结果表明,洪都拉斯的COVID-19病例中有很大一部分发生在年轻成年人中,他们在重症和死亡病例中也占很大比例。基础疾病与严重结局独立相关,且在洪都拉斯COVID-19病例中非常普遍。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ea6c/8130023/4aad84ed297b/ciaa1188f0001.jpg

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