Department of Statistics, Faculty of Natural and Computational Sciences, Debre Tabor University, Debre Tabor, Ethiopia.
Department of Statistics, College of Science, Bahir Dar University, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia.
PLoS One. 2020 Aug 17;15(8):e0237640. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0237640. eCollection 2020.
The child mortality rate is an essential measurement of socioeconomic growth and the quality of life in Ethiopia which is one among the six countries that account for half of the global under-five deaths. Therefore, this study aimed to identify the potential risk factors for child mortality in Ethiopia. Data for the study was drawn from the Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey data conducted in 2016. A two-part random effects regression model was employed to identify the associated predictors of child mortality. The study found that 53.3% of mothers did not face any child death, while 46.7% lost at least one. Vaccinated child (IRR = 0.735, 95%CI: 0.647, 0.834), were currently using contraceptive (IRR = 0.885, 95%CI: 0.814, 0.962), who had antenatal care visit four or more times visit (IRR = 0.841, 95%CI: 0.737,0.960), fathers whose level of education is secondary or above(IRR = 0.695, 95%CI: 0.594, 0.814), mothers who completed their primary school(IRR = 0.785, 95%CI: 0.713, 0.864), mothers who have birth interval greater than 36 months (IRR = 0.728, 95%CI: 0.676, 0.783), where the age of the mother at first birth is greater than 16 years(IRR = 0.711, 95%CI: 0.674, 0.750) associated with the small number of child death. While multiple births (IRR = 1.355, 95%CI: 1.249, 1.471, four and above birth order (IRR = 1.487, 95%CI: 1.373, 1.612) and had working father (IRR = 1.125, 95%CI: 1.049, 1.206) associated with a higher number of child death. The variance components for the random effects showed significant variation of child mortality between enumeration areas. Policies and programs aimed at addressing enumeration area variations in child mortality need to be formulated and their implementation must be strongly pursued. Efforts are also needed to extend educational programmers aimed at educating mothers on the benefits of the antenatal checkup before first birth, spacing their birth interval, having their child vaccinated, and selecting a safe place of delivery to reduce child mortality.
儿童死亡率是衡量埃塞俄比亚社会经济增长和生活质量的一个重要指标,该国是全球五岁以下儿童死亡人数占一半的六个国家之一。因此,本研究旨在确定埃塞俄比亚儿童死亡的潜在风险因素。本研究的数据来自 2016 年进行的埃塞俄比亚人口与健康调查。采用两部分随机效应回归模型来确定与儿童死亡相关的预测因素。研究发现,53.3%的母亲没有面临任何儿童死亡,而 46.7%的母亲至少失去了一个孩子。接种疫苗的儿童(IRR=0.735,95%CI:0.647,0.834)、目前使用避孕药具(IRR=0.885,95%CI:0.814,0.962)、接受过四次或更多次产前检查(IRR=0.841,95%CI:0.737,0.960)、父亲接受过中等或以上教育(IRR=0.695,95%CI:0.594,0.814)、母亲完成小学教育(IRR=0.785,95%CI:0.713,0.864)、母亲生育间隔大于 36 个月(IRR=0.728,95%CI:0.676,0.783)、母亲初育年龄大于 16 岁(IRR=0.711,95%CI:0.674,0.750)与儿童死亡人数较少有关。而多胎(IRR=1.355,95%CI:1.249,1.471)、四胎及以上出生顺序(IRR=1.487,95%CI:1.373,1.612)和有工作的父亲(IRR=1.125,95%CI:1.049,1.206)与儿童死亡人数较多有关。随机效应的方差分量显示,在计数区之间,儿童死亡率存在显著差异。需要制定针对儿童死亡率计数区差异的政策和方案,并大力推进其实施。还需要努力扩大教育方案,教育母亲在第一次分娩前进行产前检查、间隔生育、给孩子接种疫苗以及选择安全的分娩地点的好处,以降低儿童死亡率。