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30天再入院率:长达两年全因死亡率升高的一个预测指标。

Thirty-Day Hospital Readmissions: A Predictor of Higher All-cause Mortality for Up to Two Years.

作者信息

Shaw Jawaid A, Stiliannoudakis Spiro, Qaiser Rabia, Layman Erynn, Sima Adam, Ali Asghar

机构信息

Internal Medicine, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, USA.

Biostatistics, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, USA.

出版信息

Cureus. 2020 Jul 21;12(7):e9308. doi: 10.7759/cureus.9308.

DOI:10.7759/cureus.9308
PMID:32839677
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7440272/
Abstract

Introduction Readmission within 30 days is used as a standard quality metric for hospitalized patients. We hypothesized that patients who get readmitted within 30 days may have higher short- and long-term mortality. Material and Methods Using administrative data, we retrospectively analyzed 2,353 patients admitted to inpatient medicine service over a period of one year. The patients were matched for diagnostic group (DRG) and severity index (SI) using nearest propensity scores in a 2:1 ratio between non-readmissions (NRA) to readmissions (RA) patients. Results There was no statistically significant difference in the groups between age, sex, length of stay (LOS), race, and ethnicity. The hazard model yielded a hazard ratio (HR) of 2.06 for 30-day readmissions (95% CI of 1.55, 2.74; p=<0.001). The survival probability at 6, 12, 18, and 24 months was consistently greater for NRA patients.  Conclusions Thirty-day readmissions are an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality which persists for at least two years independent of DRG and SI.

摘要

引言

30天内再入院被用作衡量住院患者质量的标准指标。我们假设30天内再入院的患者可能有更高的短期和长期死亡率。

材料与方法

我们使用管理数据,对一年内入住内科住院服务的2353名患者进行了回顾性分析。使用最近邻倾向得分,按照非再入院患者(NRA)与再入院患者(RA)2:1的比例,对患者的诊断组(DRG)和严重程度指数(SI)进行匹配。

结果

两组在年龄、性别、住院时间(LOS)、种族和民族方面无统计学显著差异。风险模型得出30天再入院的风险比(HR)为2.06(95%CI为1.55, 2.74;p<0.001)。NRA患者在6、12、18和24个月时的生存概率始终更高。

结论

30天再入院是全因死亡率的独立危险因素,且与DRG和SI无关,这种情况至少持续两年。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7849/7440272/1973f6d6a5f4/cureus-0012-00000009308-i01.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7849/7440272/1973f6d6a5f4/cureus-0012-00000009308-i01.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7849/7440272/1973f6d6a5f4/cureus-0012-00000009308-i01.jpg

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