Jefferson Michael
ESCP Europe Business School, London Campus, 527 Finchley Road, London NW3 7BG, UK.
Energy Res Soc Sci. 2020 Oct;68:101669. doi: 10.1016/j.erss.2020.101669. Epub 2020 Jul 15.
Assessing prospects for future oil prices is an uncertain activity but, barring Middle East conflict creating severe supply issues, crude oil prices are expected to stage a recovery by third-quarter 2020 and modest further recovery in first-half 2021, with the range $40 to $60 per barrel for WTI and Brent. Despite such a recovery there will be many oil sectors incurring losses, from US shale oil and Canadian tar sands producers, to many standard crude oil exporters incurring problems with production equipment access and costs, or experiencing lack of competitiveness in key markets.
评估未来油价前景是一项不确定的活动，但除非中东冲突引发严重供应问题，预计原油价格将在2020年第三季度企稳回升，并在2021年上半年进一步温和回升，西得克萨斯中质原油（WTI）和布伦特原油价格区间为每桶40至60美元。尽管油价有所回升，但仍有许多石油行业面临亏损，从美国页岩油生产商和加拿大油砂生产商，到许多标准原油出口商，它们在生产设备获取和成本方面存在问题，或在关键市场缺乏竞争力。
