Division of Hematology and Medical Oncology, Tisch Cancer Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, United States of America.
Department of Population Health Science and Policy, Tisch Cancer Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, United States of America.
Thromb Res. 2020 Dec;196:99-105. doi: 10.1016/j.thromres.2020.08.032. Epub 2020 Aug 20.
Observational data suggest an acquired prothrombotic state may contribute to the pathophysiology of COVID-19. These data include elevated D-dimers observed among many COVID-19 patients. We present a retrospective analysis of admission D-dimer, and D-dimer trends, among 1065 adult hospitalized COVID-19 patients, across 6 New York Hospitals. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Secondary outcomes were intubation and venous thromboembolism (VTE). Three-hundred-thirteen patients (29.4%) died, 319 (30.0%) required intubation, and 30 (2.8%) had diagnosed VTE. Using Cox proportional-hazard modeling, each 1 μg/ml increase in admission D-dimer level was associated with a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.06 (95%CI 1.04-1.08, p < 0.0001) for death, 1.08 (95%CI 1.06-1.10, p < 0.0001) for intubation, and 1.08 (95%CI 1.03-1.13, p = 0.0087) for VTE. Time-dependent receiver-operator-curves for admission D-dimer as a predictor of death, intubation, and VTE yielded areas-under-the-curve of 0.694, 0.621, and 0.565 respectively. Joint-latent-class-modeling identified distinct groups of patients with respect to D-dimer trend. Patients with stable D-dimer trajectories had HRs of 0.29 (95%CI 0.17-0.49, p < 0.0001) and 0.22 (95%CI 0.10-0.45, p = 0.0001) relative to those with increasing D-dimer trajectories, for the outcomes death and intubation respectively. Patients with low-increasing D-dimer trajectories had a multivariable HR for VTE of 0.18 (95%CI 0.05-0.68, p = 0.0117) relative to those with high-decreasing D-dimer trajectories. Time-dependent receiver-operator-curves for D-dimer trend as a predictor of death, intubation, and VTE yielded areas-under-the-curve of 0.678, 0.699, and 0.722 respectively. Although admission D-dimer levels, and D-dimer trends, are associated with outcomes in COVID-19, they have limited performance characteristics as prognostic tests.
观察性数据表明,获得性促血栓状态可能有助于 COVID-19 的病理生理学。这些数据包括在许多 COVID-19 患者中观察到的升高的 D-二聚体。我们对 6 家纽约医院的 1065 名成年住院 COVID-19 患者的入院 D-二聚体和 D-二聚体趋势进行了回顾性分析。主要结局是全因死亡率。次要结局是插管和静脉血栓栓塞 (VTE)。313 名患者(29.4%)死亡,319 名(30.0%)需要插管,30 名(2.8%)患有确诊 VTE。使用 Cox 比例风险模型,入院 D-二聚体水平每增加 1μg/ml,死亡的风险比 (HR) 为 1.06(95%CI 1.04-1.08,p<0.0001),插管的 HR 为 1.08(95%CI 1.06-1.10,p<0.0001),VTE 的 HR 为 1.08(95%CI 1.03-1.13,p=0.0087)。入院 D-二聚体作为死亡、插管和 VTE 预测因子的时间依赖性接受者操作特征曲线的曲线下面积分别为 0.694、0.621 和 0.565。联合潜在类别模型确定了 D-二聚体趋势方面具有不同特征的患者群体。D-二聚体轨迹稳定的患者的 HR 分别为 0.29(95%CI 0.17-0.49,p<0.0001)和 0.22(95%CI 0.10-0.45,p=0.0001),与 D-二聚体轨迹升高的患者相比,死亡和插管的结局分别。D-二聚体低升高轨迹患者的 VTE 多变量 HR 为 0.18(95%CI 0.05-0.68,p=0.0117),与 D-二聚体高下降轨迹患者相比。D-二聚体趋势作为死亡、插管和 VTE 预测因子的时间依赖性接受者操作特征曲线的曲线下面积分别为 0.678、0.699 和 0.722。尽管入院 D-二聚体水平和 D-二聚体趋势与 COVID-19 的结局相关,但它们作为预后测试的性能特征有限。