Sport Industry Research Centre, Sheffield Hallam University, Sheffield S1 1WB, UK.
Institute for Advanced Research in Business and Economics, Department of Economics, Public University of Navarra, 31006 Navarra, Spain.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2020 Aug 26;17(17):6193. doi: 10.3390/ijerph17176193.
A substantial amount of attention has been devoted towards the potential sport legacy of the Olympic Games. In spite of the increasing academic interest in this topic, there is a knowledge gap as far as sport legacy is concerned by types of different sports. The authors bridge this gap by analysing the evolution of 43 different Olympic/Paralympic sport modalities in the two-year period after the London 2012 Olympics. By using data from the Active People Survey with a sample of 165,000 people annually, and considering some demographic variables and the effect of the economic environment, the paper aims to test the existence of a sport legacy. We have applied time series analysis and ARIMA models for controlling for economic influence and seasonal adjustment and for making comparisons among participation rates. The results show, for the total of the sports analysed, that there were 336,000 individuals who increased their frequency of participation, while there was no significant increase in the number of new participants in these sports. When we develop the analysis for types of sports, London 2012 is positively associated not only with the frequency of participation in some types of sport but also with an increase in the number of new sport participants. Gender and age differences are also detected. The results show the differences of sport legacy by type of sports. Moreover, this research has elucidated an important unrecognised aspect of the effect of the Olympic Games and perhaps major events: that they can become a major policy tool for reversing sporting inequalities.
人们对奥运会的潜在体育遗产给予了大量关注。尽管学术界对这一主题的兴趣日益浓厚,但就不同体育项目的体育遗产而言,仍存在知识空白。作者通过分析伦敦 2012 年奥运会后两年内 43 种不同的奥林匹克/残奥运动模式的演变来填补这一空白。该研究使用了每年有 16.5 万人参与的“活跃人群调查”的数据,并考虑了一些人口统计学变量和经济环境的影响,旨在测试体育遗产的存在。我们应用了时间序列分析和 ARIMA 模型来控制经济影响和季节性调整,并对参与率进行比较。结果表明,对于分析的所有运动项目,有 33.6 万人增加了参与频率,而这些运动项目中新参与者的数量并没有显著增加。当我们对不同类型的运动进行分析时,伦敦 2012 年不仅与某些类型运动的参与频率呈正相关,而且与新参与运动项目的人数增加呈正相关。还检测到了性别和年龄差异。结果显示了不同类型体育项目的体育遗产差异。此外,这项研究阐明了奥运会和重大赛事影响的一个重要但未被认识到的方面:它们可以成为扭转体育不平等的主要政策工具。