Eur J Intern Med. 2020 Dec;82:38-47. doi: 10.1016/j.ejim.2020.08.019. Epub 2020 Aug 25.
Hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) was proposed as potential treatment for COVID-19.
We set-up a multicenter Italian collaboration to investigate the relationship between HCQ therapy and COVID-19 in-hospital mortality.
In a retrospective observational study, 3,451 unselected patients hospitalized in 33 clinical centers in Italy, from February 19, 2020 to May 23, 2020, with laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, were analyzed. The primary end-point in a time-to event analysis was in-hospital death, comparing patients who received HCQ with patients who did not. We used multivariable Cox proportional-hazards regression models with inverse probability for treatment weighting by propensity scores, with the addition of subgroup analyses.
Out of 3,451 COVID-19 patients, 76.3% received HCQ. Death rates (per 1,000 person-days) for patients receiving or not HCQ were 8.9 and 15.7, respectively. After adjustment for propensity scores, we found 30% lower risk of death in patients receiving HCQ (HR=0.70; 95%CI: 0.59 to 0.84; E-value=1.67). Secondary analyses yielded similar results. The inverse association of HCQ with inpatient mortality was particularly evident in patients having elevated C-reactive protein at entry.
HCQ use was associated with a 30% lower risk of death in COVID-19 hospitalized patients. Within the limits of an observational study and awaiting results from randomized controlled trials, these data do not discourage the use of HCQ in inpatients with COVID-19.
羟氯喹 (HCQ) 被提议作为 COVID-19 的潜在治疗方法。
我们建立了一个意大利多中心合作,以研究 HCQ 治疗与 COVID-19 住院死亡率之间的关系。
在一项回顾性观察性研究中,分析了 2020 年 2 月 19 日至 5 月 23 日在意大利 33 个临床中心住院的 3451 例未经选择的实验室确诊 SARS-CoV-2 感染患者。事件时间分析的主要终点是住院死亡,比较接受 HCQ 治疗的患者与未接受 HCQ 治疗的患者。我们使用多变量 Cox 比例风险回归模型,通过倾向评分进行逆概率治疗加权,并进行亚组分析。
在 3451 例 COVID-19 患者中,76.3%接受了 HCQ。接受或未接受 HCQ 的患者的死亡率(每 1000 人日)分别为 8.9 和 15.7。在调整倾向评分后,我们发现接受 HCQ 的患者死亡风险降低了 30%(HR=0.70;95%CI:0.59 至 0.84;E 值=1.67)。二次分析得出了类似的结果。HCQ 与住院死亡率的负相关在入院时 C 反应蛋白升高的患者中尤为明显。
HCQ 的使用与 COVID-19 住院患者的死亡风险降低 30%相关。在观察性研究的限制范围内,并等待随机对照试验的结果,这些数据并不反对在 COVID-19 住院患者中使用 HCQ。