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尼泊尔新冠肺炎模式的变化:全球关注——一篇叙述性综述

The changing pattern of COVID-19 in Nepal: A Global concern- A Narrative Review.

作者信息

Banerjee Indrajit, Robinson Jared, Kashyap Abhishek, Mohabeer Poornasha, Shukla Ananya, Leclézio Alexandra

机构信息

Associate Professor, Department of Pharmacology, Sir Seewoosagur Ramgoolam Medical College, Belle Rive, Mauritius.

Sir Seewoosagur Ramgoolam Medical College, Belle Rive, Mauritius.

出版信息

Nepal J Epidemiol. 2020 Jun 30;10(2):845-855. doi: 10.3126/nje.v10i2.29769. eCollection 2020 Jun.

Abstract

This narrative review of the literature aims to assess the impact of COVID-19 on the younger age group in terms of the Global mortality of COVID-19 in comparison to Nepal. An extensive literature survey of English literature was conducted using Pubmed, Medline, Google Scholar, Embase, WHO Nepal Situation Updates on COVID-19, Situation update report, Ministry of Health and Population-Nepal from January 25, 2020 to June 20, 2020. According to the Ministry of Health and population of The Government of Nepal, as of June 20, 2020, out of a total of 8,605 laboratory confirmed cases reported to date, the pattern shows that most of the cases fell into the cohort of 21-30 years (37.72%), followed by 11-20 years (24.35 %), 31-40 years (21.97%) and 41-50 years (9.2%). To date Nepal has recorded a total of twenty-two deaths. At first evaluation these figures may not strike one as alarming, but on further investigation it is noted that the mean age is 42. 32 ± 19.632 SD years, and out of which male patients accounted for 77.3% and female accounted for 22.7%. The current situation of COVID-19 and how it develops in Nepal should be closely monitored and could be of international concern as it may be the early indicator of a changing pattern in COVID-19 infections. Nepal may therefore act as a global watch dog, due to the fact that the world could very possibly expose the younger age group under the notion that they are more resilient to the virus, when in reality that notion may be changing. This trend must be monitored and further investigated in order to establish the risk of the events unfolding in Nepal.

摘要

本叙述性文献综述旨在评估与尼泊尔相比,新冠疫情对年轻人群体在全球新冠死亡率方面的影响。2020年1月25日至2020年6月20日期间,使用PubMed、Medline、谷歌学术、Embase、世卫组织尼泊尔新冠疫情情况更新、情况更新报告、尼泊尔卫生与人口部对英文文献进行了广泛的文献调查。根据尼泊尔政府卫生与人口部的数据,截至2020年6月20日,在迄今报告的8605例实验室确诊病例中,病例模式显示,大多数病例属于21 - 30岁年龄组(37.72%),其次是11 - 20岁年龄组(24.35%)、31 - 40岁年龄组(21.97%)和41 - 50岁年龄组(9.2%)。迄今为止,尼泊尔共记录了22例死亡病例。初步评估时,这些数字可能不会让人觉得惊人,但进一步调查发现,平均年龄为42.32 ± 19.632标准差岁,其中男性患者占77.3%,女性占22.7%。应密切监测尼泊尔新冠疫情的现状及其发展情况,这可能成为国际关注的焦点,因为它可能是新冠感染模式变化的早期指标。因此,尼泊尔可能成为全球的“守望者”,因为在认为年轻人对病毒更具抵抗力的观念下,世界很可能使年轻人群体暴露于病毒之下,而实际上这种观念可能正在改变。必须监测并进一步调查这一趋势,以确定尼泊尔正在发生的事件的风险。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1d50/7423402/df20970259e0/nje-10-845-g001.jpg

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