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《COVID-19 大流行对企业的影响:中国广东省的一项调查》。

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on firms: a survey in Guangdong Province, China.

机构信息

School of Management, Harbin Institute of Technology, No. 13 Fayuan District, Harbin, 150001 China.

出版信息

Glob Health Res Policy. 2020 Sep 2;5:41. doi: 10.1186/s41256-020-00166-z. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The COVID-19 pandemic has affected all sectors of the world economy and society. To understand the impact of the pandemic on firms in China and suggest public policies to deal with the negative effects, we investigated firms in Guangdong Province.

METHODS

The survey sample included 524 firms in 15 cities in Guangdong Province. We chose these firms from the list published by the government, considering the industrial characteristics of Guangdong province and firm size. The questionnaire was developed based on previous studies carried out by UNDP. It comprised four categories with a total of 17 questions. The executives of firms were contacted by telephone or WeChat, and were invited to answer self-administered questionnaires through an online survey platform. The data was analyzed by SPSS.

RESULTS

The following key findings were revealed through the survey: (1) 48.7% of firms maintained stability, and 35.1% experienced a halt in operation or faced closure; (2) Nearly 70-90% already exploit online commerce or are willing to do so, and also remote office work, and digital operations. (3) 46% believe that they will certainly incur losses for 2020, and 83.5% expect the city's GDP to decrease.

CONCLUSIONS

Firms in Guangdong Province have faced great challenges in the epidemic. Their production and operation activities have been limited, and they are facing significant risks. It is necessary to implement policies that would profoundly lower production costs for firms, help them survive this difficult period, and gradually return to normal business.

摘要

背景

COVID-19 大流行已影响到世界经济和社会的各个部门。为了了解大流行对中国企业的影响,并提出应对负面影响的公共政策建议,我们对广东省的企业进行了调查。

方法

调查样本包括广东省 15 个城市的 524 家企业。我们从政府公布的名单中选择了这些企业,考虑到广东省的产业特点和企业规模。问卷是根据联合国开发计划署(UNDP)之前进行的研究制定的,共分为四类,共 17 个问题。通过电话或微信联系企业高管,并邀请他们通过在线调查平台回答自填式问卷。使用 SPSS 对数据进行分析。

结果

通过调查发现以下关键结果:(1)48.7%的企业保持稳定,35.1%的企业停产或面临倒闭;(2)近 70-90%的企业已经或愿意利用电子商务、远程办公和数字化运营;(3)46%的企业认为 2020 年肯定会亏损,83.5%的企业预计该市 GDP 将会下降。

结论

广东省企业在疫情中面临巨大挑战。他们的生产经营活动受到限制,面临重大风险。有必要实施政策,大幅降低企业生产成本,帮助他们度过难关,逐步恢复正常经营。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/874b/7466838/e569b1f7518a/41256_2020_166_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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