Peduzzi P
Cooperative Studies Program Coordinating Center VA Medical Center, West Haven, CT 06516.
Prog Clin Biol Res. 1988;264:61-70.
Randomized clinical trials are the most objective method for evaluating new therapies, but they are subject to the same biases as nonrandomized studies unless the principles of statistical design are observed at the planning stage. Estimation of sample size also requires early careful consideration, since studies of inadequate size will not have sufficient statistical power to detect meaningful treatment differences. For ethical reasons, interim data monitoring procedures should be used to detect early treatment responses that may lead to alteration or interruption of the planned study to give patients early benefit from a superior treatment or diminish their risk from ineffective or harmful treatment. Additional important aspects of clinical trial design that were not addressed in this report include: definition of study objectives and endpoints, description of data to be collected, details of the treatment regimens, informed consent and plans for data analysis. The science of clinical trial design is complex; only some of the key statistical issues have been addressed briefly in this report.
随机临床试验是评估新疗法最客观的方法,但除非在规划阶段遵循统计设计原则,否则它们也会受到与非随机研究相同的偏差影响。样本量的估计也需要尽早仔细考虑,因为规模不足的研究将没有足够的统计效力来检测有意义的治疗差异。出于伦理原因,应采用中期数据监测程序来检测早期治疗反应,这些反应可能导致改变或中断计划中的研究,以便让患者尽早从更优治疗中获益,或降低他们接受无效或有害治疗的风险。本报告未涉及的临床试验设计的其他重要方面包括:研究目标和终点的定义、要收集的数据描述、治疗方案的细节、知情同意以及数据分析计划。临床试验设计科学很复杂;本报告仅简要涉及了一些关键的统计问题。