Department of Primary Industries and Regional Development, 20 Gregory St, Geraldton, WA 6530, Australia.
Help in Suffering, Maharani Farm, Durgapura, Jaipur, Rajasthan 302018, India.
Prev Vet Med. 2020 Oct;183:105120. doi: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2020.105120. Epub 2020 Aug 14.
A global strategic plan for the elimination of dog-mediated human rabies deaths by 2030 was announced in 2018. The cost-effectiveness of annual mass dog vaccination programmes, as a control and elimination method, has been advocated on many occasions. Complementary methods, such as animal birth control (ABC) activities, have received less attention. This paper provides a case-study of a programme operated by Help in Suffering (HIS) in Jaipur, India from 1994/95 until 2016/17 comprising both ABC and additional vaccination-only activities. The availability of cost data alongside information on dog numbers, dog bites and human rabies cases provided an exceptionally detailed and unique retrospective dataset recording actual events and expenditures. Updated to 2016/17 prices, the total cost of the programme was 658,744 USD. Since 2007/2008, activity costs have been separated and returned costs of 10.78 USD per dog, both sterilised and vaccinated, and 1.86 USD per dog, vaccinated only. Over the course of the programme, the number of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) due to premature death and the distress associated with dog bites was estimated to be 36,246 fewer than would have been expected if HIS had not been operating, based on a counterfactual scenario using pre-intervention values. Linking the DALY figure to the cost of the activities undertaken by HIS yields a cost of 26 USD per DALY averted. Discounted at 3%, the DALYs averted equate to 16,587 at a cost of 40 USD per DALY averted. Both cases make it a very cost-effective intervention, in relation to the threshold of investing one year's gross domestic product (GDP) per DALY averted (1981 USD in 2016/17). The monetary benefit from fewer dog bites and clinical human rabies cases requiring treatment amounted to 5.62 million USD after discounting, which, if attributed to Help in Suffering, yields a monetary benefit-cost ratio of 8.5. Thus, the potential monetary benefits greatly outweigh the programme costs, even without considering the DALYs averted. If a modest notional monetary value of one year's GDP is assigned to represent the human capital or production value of DALYs averted, the discounted societal economic benefit reaches 38.48 million USD and implies a benefit-cost ratio of 58.4. These economic analyses demonstrate that ABC activities in combination with additional vaccination efforts can be a cost-effective control measure for dog-mediated human rabies.
2018 年宣布了一项到 2030 年消除犬介导的人类狂犬病死亡的全球战略计划。作为一种控制和消除方法,每年大规模给狗接种疫苗的成本效益已多次得到提倡。而动物繁殖控制(ABC)活动等补充方法则受到较少关注。本文提供了印度斋浦尔的 Help in Suffering(HIS)从 1994/95 年到 2016/17 年运营的一个项目案例研究,该项目包括 ABC 和额外的仅接种疫苗活动。成本数据以及狗的数量、狗咬伤和人类狂犬病病例的信息可用,提供了一个异常详细和独特的回顾性数据集,记录了实际事件和支出。根据 2016/17 年的价格进行更新后,该项目的总成本为 658744 美元。自 2007/2008 年以来,活动成本已分开,每只绝育和接种疫苗的狗的回报成本为 10.78 美元,仅接种疫苗的狗的回报成本为 1.86 美元。在项目期间,与如果 HIS 没有运营所预期的相比,由于过早死亡和与狗咬伤相关的痛苦而导致的残疾调整生命年(DALY)估计减少了 36246 个。根据使用干预前值的反事实情景,将 DALY 数字与 HIS 开展的活动成本相关联,得出每避免一个 DALY 的活动成本为 26 美元。贴现 3%后,避免的 DALY 相当于 40 美元/ DALY 避免的成本,每年为 16587 美元。这两种情况都表明,相对于投资每年国内生产总值(GDP)每避免一个 DALY 的阈值(2016/17 年为 1981 美元),这是一种非常具有成本效益的干预措施。如果对更少的狗咬伤和需要治疗的临床人类狂犬病病例进行贴现,货币收益为 562 万美元,如果归因于 Help in Suffering,则货币收益-成本比为 8.5。因此,即使不考虑避免的 DALY,潜在的货币收益也大大超过了项目成本。如果将代表避免的 DALY 的人的资本或生产价值的一年国内生产总值的适度名义价值分配,则社会经济贴现效益达到 3848 万美元,意味着收益-成本比为 58.4。这些经济分析表明,ABC 活动与额外的接种工作相结合,可以成为一种具有成本效益的控制犬介导的人类狂犬病的措施。