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反应时间模型区分了基于记忆的决策的单过程和双过程解释。

Response time models separate single- and dual-process accounts of memory-based decisions.

作者信息

Kraemer Peter M, Fontanesi Laura, Spektor Mikhail S, Gluth Sebastian

机构信息

Department of Psychology, University of Basel, Missionsstrasse 62a, 4055, Basel, Switzerland.

Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Ramon Trias Fargas, 25, Barcelona, 08005, Spain.

出版信息

Psychon Bull Rev. 2021 Feb;28(1):304-323. doi: 10.3758/s13423-020-01794-9.

Abstract

Human decisions often deviate from economic rationality and are influenced by cognitive biases. One such bias is the memory bias according to which people prefer choice options they have a better memory of-even when the options' utilities are comparatively low. Although this phenomenon is well supported empirically, its cognitive foundation remains elusive. Here we test two conceivable computational accounts of the memory bias against each other. On the one hand, a single-process account explains the memory bias by assuming a single biased evidence-accumulation process in favor of remembered options. On the contrary, a dual-process account posits that some decisions are driven by a purely memory-driven process and others by a utility-maximizing one. We show that both accounts are indistinguishable based on choices alone as they make similar predictions with respect to the memory bias. However, they make qualitatively different predictions about response times. We tested the qualitative and quantitative predictions of both accounts on behavioral data from a memory-based decision-making task. Our results show that a single-process account provides a better account of the data, both qualitatively and quantitatively. In addition to deepening our understanding of memory-based decision-making, our study provides an example of how to rigorously compare single- versus dual-process models using empirical data and hierarchical Bayesian parameter estimation methods.

摘要

人类决策常常偏离经济理性,并受到认知偏差的影响。其中一种偏差是记忆偏差,即人们更倾向于选择他们记忆更深刻的选项——即使这些选项的效用相对较低。尽管这一现象在实证上得到了充分支持,但其认知基础仍然难以捉摸。在这里,我们相互测试了两种关于记忆偏差的可想象的计算解释。一方面,单过程解释通过假设一个偏向于记忆选项的单一有偏差证据积累过程来解释记忆偏差。相反,双过程解释认为,一些决策是由纯粹的记忆驱动过程驱动的,而另一些决策则是由效用最大化过程驱动的。我们表明,仅基于选择,这两种解释是无法区分的,因为它们对记忆偏差做出了相似的预测。然而,它们对反应时间做出了质的不同的预测。我们在一个基于记忆的决策任务的行为数据上测试了这两种解释的定性和定量预测。我们的结果表明,单过程解释在定性和定量上都能更好地解释数据。除了加深我们对基于记忆的决策的理解之外,我们的研究还提供了一个如何使用实证数据和分层贝叶斯参数估计方法严格比较单过程模型和双过程模型的例子。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a3ef/7870645/8623d9de2a95/13423_2020_1794_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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