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2020年9月华盛顿州野火烟雾事件中可归因于细颗粒物(PM)的死亡率的健康影响评估。

Health Impact Assessment of PM attributable mortality from the September 2020 Washington State Wildfire Smoke Episode.

作者信息

Liu Yisi, Austin Elena, Xiang Jianbang, Gould Tim, Larson Tim, Seto Edmund

机构信息

Department of Environmental and Occupational Health Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, United States.

Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, United States.

出版信息

medRxiv. 2020 Oct 20:2020.09.19.20197921. doi: 10.1101/2020.09.19.20197921.

Abstract

Major wildfires that started in the summer of 2020 along the west coast of the U.S. have made PM concentrations in cities in this region rank among the highest in the world. Regions of Washington were impacted by active wildfires in the state, and by aged wood smoke transported from fires in Oregon and California. This study aims to assess the population health impact of increased PM concentrations attributable to the wildfire. Average daily PM concentrations for each county before and during the 2020 Washington wildfire episode were obtained from the Washington Department of Ecology. Utilizing previously established associations of short-term mortality for PM, we estimated excess mortality for Washington attributable to the increased PM levels. On average, PM concentrations increased 91.7 μg/m during the wildfire episode. Each week of wildfire smoke exposures was estimated to result in 87.6 (95% CI: 70.9, 103.1) cases of increased all-cause mortality, 19.1 (95% CI: 10.0, 28.2) increased cardiovascular disease deaths, and 9.4 (95% CI: 5.1, 13.5) increased respiratory disease deaths. Because wildfire smoke episodes are likely to continue impacting the Pacific Northwest in future years, continued preparedness and mitigations to reduce exposures to wildfire smoke are necessary to avoid this excess health burden.

摘要

2020年夏季在美国西海岸爆发的重大野火,使得该地区城市的细颗粒物(PM)浓度位居世界最高水平之列。华盛顿州部分地区受到该州境内活跃野火的影响,同时还受到来自俄勒冈州和加利福尼亚州野火产生的陈年木烟的影响。本研究旨在评估野火导致的细颗粒物浓度增加对人群健康的影响。2020年华盛顿野火事件之前及期间各县的日均细颗粒物浓度数据来自华盛顿州生态部。利用先前确定的细颗粒物与短期死亡率之间的关联,我们估算了华盛顿州因细颗粒物水平升高而导致的额外死亡人数。野火事件期间,细颗粒物浓度平均增加了91.7微克/立方米。据估计,每周暴露于野火烟雾中会导致87.6例(95%置信区间:70.9,103.1)全因死亡率增加、19.1例(95%置信区间:10.0,28.2)心血管疾病死亡增加以及9.4例(95%置信区间:5.1,13.5)呼吸道疾病死亡增加。由于未来几年野火烟雾事件可能会继续影响太平洋西北地区,因此持续做好准备并采取缓解措施以减少对野火烟雾的暴露,对于避免这种额外的健康负担至关重要。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7507/7592108/a09a7d027961/nihpp-2020.09.19.20197921-f0002.jpg

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