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野火特定细颗粒物与城乡县住院风险

Wildfire-specific Fine Particulate Matter and Risk of Hospital Admissions in Urban and Rural Counties.

作者信息

Liu Jia Coco, Wilson Ander, Mickley Loretta J, Dominici Francesca, Ebisu Keita, Wang Yun, Sulprizio Melissa P, Peng Roger D, Yue Xu, Son Ji-Young, Anderson G Brooke, Bell Michelle L

机构信息

From the aSchool of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, New Haven, CT; bDepartment of Biostatistics, T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; cSchool of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; dDepartment of Biostatistics, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD; and eDepartment of Environmental & Radiological Health Sciences, College of Veterinary Medicine & Biomedical Sciences, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO.

出版信息

Epidemiology. 2017 Jan;28(1):77-85. doi: 10.1097/EDE.0000000000000556.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The health impacts of wildfire smoke, including fine particles (PM2.5), are not well understood and may differ from those of PM2.5 from other sources due to differences in concentrations and chemical composition.

METHODS

First, for the entire Western United States (561 counties) for 2004-2009, we estimated daily PM2.5 concentrations directly attributable to wildfires (wildfires-specific PM2.5), using a global chemical transport model. Second, we defined smoke wave as ≥2 consecutive days with daily wildfire-specific PM2.5 > 20 μg/m, with sensitivity analysis considering 23, 28, and 37 μg/m. Third, we estimated the risk of cardiovascular and respiratory hospital admissions associated with smoke waves for Medicare enrollees. We used a generalized linear mixed model to estimate the relative risk of hospital admissions on smoke wave days compared with matched comparison days without wildfire smoke.

RESULTS

We estimated that about 46 million people of all ages were exposed to at least one smoke wave during 2004 to 2009 in the Western United States. Of these, 5 million are Medicare enrollees (≥65 years). We found a 7.2% (95% confidence interval: 0.25%, 15%) increase in risk of respiratory admissions during smoke wave days with high wildfire-specific PM2.5 (>37 μg/m) compared with matched non smoke wave days. We did not observe an association between smoke wave days with wildfire-specific PM2.5 ≤ 37 μg/mand respiratory or cardiovascular admissions. Respiratory effects of wildfire-specific PM2.5 may be stronger than that of PM2.5 from other sources.

CONCLUSION

Short-term exposure to wildfire-specific PM2.5was associated with risk of respiratory diseases in the elderly population in the Western United States during severe smoke days. See video abstract at, http://links.lww.com/EDE/B137.

摘要

背景

野火烟雾(包括细颗粒物(PM2.5))对健康的影响尚未得到充分了解,由于浓度和化学成分的差异,其影响可能与其他来源的PM2.5不同。

方法

首先,对于2004 - 2009年美国西部全境(561个县),我们使用全球化学传输模型估算了可直接归因于野火的每日PM2.5浓度(特定野火PM2.5)。其次,我们将烟雾波定义为连续≥2天特定野火PM2.5 > 20μg/m,并进行敏感性分析,考虑23、28和37μg/m的情况。第三,我们估算了医疗保险参保者因烟雾波导致心血管和呼吸道住院的风险。我们使用广义线性混合模型来估算烟雾波日与无野火烟雾的匹配对照日相比住院的相对风险。

结果

我们估计在2004年至2009年期间,美国西部约4600万人至少经历过一次烟雾波。其中,500万是医疗保险参保者(≥65岁)。我们发现,与匹配的非烟雾波日相比,在特定野火PM2.5浓度高(>37μg/m)的烟雾波日,呼吸道住院风险增加了7.2%(95%置信区间:0.25%,15%)。我们未观察到特定野火PM2.5≤37μg/m的烟雾波日与呼吸道或心血管住院之间存在关联。特定野火PM2.5对呼吸道的影响可能比其他来源的PM2.5更强。

结论

在美国西部,严重烟雾日期间,老年人短期暴露于特定野火PM2.5与呼吸系统疾病风险相关。见视频摘要:http://links.lww.com/EDE/B137

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