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绿色革命对健康的影响:发展中国家 60 万例出生的证据。

Health Impacts of the Green Revolution: Evidence from 600,000 births across the Developing World.

机构信息

World Bank.

Economics and Public Policy Area, Indian School of Business, Hyderabad.

出版信息

J Health Econ. 2020 Dec;74:102373. doi: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2020.102373. Epub 2020 Sep 8.

Abstract

What is the contribution of the 'Green Revolution' to improvements in child health during the 20 century? We provide global scale estimates of this relationship by constructing a novel, spatially-precise indicator of modern crop variety (MV) diffusion and leveraging child-level data from over 600,000 children across 21,604 sampling locations in 37 developing countries between 1961-2000. Results indicate that the diffusion of MVs reduced infant mortality by 2.4-5.3 percentage points (from a baseline of 18%), with stronger effects for male infants and among poor households. The sizable contribution of agricultural technology to improved welfare should inform global food and development policy.

摘要

“绿色革命”对 20 世纪儿童健康的改善有何贡献?我们通过构建一种新颖的、空间精确的现代作物品种(MV)扩散指标,并利用 1961 年至 2000 年间 37 个发展中国家的 21604 个采样点的 60 多万名儿童的儿童层面数据,来估计这种关系的全球规模。结果表明,MV 的扩散使婴儿死亡率降低了 2.4-5.3 个百分点(基线为 18%),对男婴和贫困家庭的影响更大。农业技术对福利的巨大贡献应该为全球粮食和发展政策提供信息。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6abe/7695682/c7ea8f4f0b14/gr1.jpg

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