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使用参数和非参数统计分类模型对荷斯坦奶牛产奶量水平进行分类和预测。

Classification and prediction of milk yield level for Holstein Friesian cattle using parametric and non-parametric statistical classification models.

作者信息

Radwan Hend, El Qaliouby Hadeel, Elfadl Eman Abo

机构信息

Department of Animal Husbandry and Wealth Development, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Mansoura University, Mansoura City, Egypt.

Department of Animal Wealth Development, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Benha University, Toukh, Egypt.

出版信息

J Adv Vet Anim Res. 2020 Aug 3;7(3):429-435. doi: 10.5455/javar.2020.g438. eCollection 2020 Sep.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to assess the veracities of most admired strategy discriminant analysis (DA), in comparison to the artificial neural network (ANN) for the anticipation and classification of milk production level in Holstein Friesian cattle using their performances.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 3,460 performance records of imported and locally born Holstein Friesian cows were gathered during the period from 2000 to 2016 to compare two alternative techniques for predicting the level of production based on performance traits in dairy cattle with the use of statistical software (Statistical Package for the Social Sciences, version 20.0).

RESULTS

The findings of the comparison indicated that ANN was more impressive in the expectancy of milk production level than did an imitator statistical method based on DA. The accuracy of the ANN model was high for the winter season (79.5%), whereas it was 47.3% for DA. The current findings were assured via the areas under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROC) for DA and ANN. AUROC curves were smaller in the condition of the DA model across different calving seasons compared with the ANN model. The inaccuracies of variations were significant at a 5% significance level utilizing paired sample -test.

CONCLUSION

ANN model can be used efficiently to predict the level of production across the different calving seasons compared to the DA model.

摘要

目的

本研究的目的是评估最受赞赏的策略判别分析(DA)与人工神经网络(ANN)相比,利用荷斯坦弗里生奶牛的生产性能对其产奶水平进行预测和分类的准确性。

材料与方法

在2000年至2016年期间,共收集了3460条进口和本地出生的荷斯坦弗里生奶牛的生产性能记录,以使用统计软件(社会科学统计软件包,版本20.0)比较两种基于奶牛生产性能性状预测生产水平的替代技术。

结果

比较结果表明,在预测产奶水平方面,人工神经网络比基于判别分析的模仿统计方法更令人印象深刻。人工神经网络模型在冬季的准确率较高(79.5%),而判别分析的准确率为47.3%。通过判别分析和人工神经网络的受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUROC)证实了当前的研究结果。与人工神经网络模型相比,在不同产犊季节的判别分析模型条件下,AUROC曲线较小。利用配对样本检验,变异的不准确性在5%的显著性水平上具有统计学意义。

结论

与判别分析模型相比,人工神经网络模型可有效地用于预测不同产犊季节的生产水平。

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