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能源价格、税收和人口对欧洲工业和住宅温室气体排放的影响三重困境。

The impact trilemma of energy prices, taxation, and population on industrial and residential greenhouse gas emissions in Europe.

机构信息

School of Economics and Management, Yanshan University, Qinhuangdao, 066004, China.

Research Center of Regional Economic Development in Yanshan University, Qinhuangdao, 066004, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Feb;28(6):6913-6928. doi: 10.1007/s11356-020-10618-1. Epub 2020 Oct 3.

Abstract

As a major source of pollution and the cause of climate change, greenhouse gas emissions are attracting the attention of scholars, policymakers, and governors in Europe and the world. This article assesses the impact of population, energy taxes, and energy prices on greenhouse gas emissions from the residential and industrial energy consumption in Europe. The paper establishes a theoretical framework that predicts that rising energy prices and increased energy taxes will reduce residential and industrial GHG emissions. According to this framework, it is expected that the labor force will have an impact on industrial greenhouse gas emissions depending on wages elasticity. Between 2007 and 2017, panel data from 21 European countries were used to test the proposed hypothesis. First, a complete sample test was conducted. The results confirmed the proposed hypothesis. In addition, it was found that the size of the population increased residential greenhouse gas emissions, while the urbanization process reduced these emissions. Next, the sample was divided according to the economic development level. The split sample analysis shows the regional heterogeneity of population factors and energy costs impacts on GHG emissions. Finally, the time-varying coefficient test indicates that during the study period, the negative impact of urbanization has decreased over time, while the positive impact of industrial production on greenhouse gas emissions has increased. We believe this article will contribute to the formulation of environmental policies and provide additional insights for environmentally sustainable development.

摘要

作为主要的污染来源和气候变化的原因,温室气体排放正引起欧洲和世界各国学者、政策制定者和管理者的关注。本文评估了人口、能源税和能源价格对欧洲住宅和工业能源消费产生的温室气体排放的影响。本文建立了一个理论框架,预测能源价格上涨和能源税增加将减少住宅和工业温室气体排放。根据这一框架,预计劳动力将根据工资弹性对工业温室气体排放产生影响。2007 年至 2017 年期间,利用 21 个欧洲国家的面板数据对提出的假设进行了检验。首先进行了完整样本检验。结果证实了提出的假设。此外,还发现人口增加会增加住宅温室气体排放,而城市化进程则会减少这些排放。接下来,根据经济发展水平对样本进行了划分。分样本分析表明,人口因素和能源成本对温室气体排放的影响存在区域异质性。最后,时变系数检验表明,在研究期间,城市化的负面影响随时间逐渐减弱,而工业生产对温室气体排放的正面影响逐渐增强。我们相信,本文将有助于制定环境政策,并为环境可持续发展提供更多的见解。

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