McKercher Bob, Wong IpKin Anthony
School of Hotel and Tourism Management the Hong Kong Polytechnic University Hung Hong, Kowloon Hong Kong, SAR, China.
School of Tourism Management Sun Yat-Sen University, Tang Jia Wang, Xiangzhou, Zhuhai, China.
Tour Manag. 2021 Apr;83:104232. doi: 10.1016/j.tourman.2020.104232. Epub 2020 Sep 29.
This research note tests the proposition empirically that destinations have multiple lifecycles. It studies tourist arrivals to over 200 destination countries and economies over a 35 year period and applies Butler's parameters to map their lifecycles. Six different lifecycle patterns were identified. Empirical findings from this study echo's Baggio's conceptual notation by showcasing that destination lifecycles seems to follow specific traits commensurate with other destinations to form a typology of networked lifecycles. In other words, we go beyond the single-destination lifecycle paradigm to improvise a new research direction that centers on co-occurrence of destination changes that reflect a certain type of lifecycle. It paves the way by introducing the concept of destination coevolution as an analogy to describe lifecycle reciprocity among a cluster of destinations that undergo a similar evolutionary odyssey.
本研究报告对目的地具有多个生命周期这一命题进行了实证检验。它研究了35年间200多个目的地国家和经济体的游客到访情况,并应用巴特勒的参数来描绘它们的生命周期。识别出了六种不同的生命周期模式。本研究的实证结果呼应了巴乔的概念性表述,表明目的地生命周期似乎遵循与其他目的地相称的特定特征,从而形成一种网络化生命周期类型学。换句话说,我们超越了单一目的地生命周期范式,以即兴提出一个新的研究方向,该方向以反映特定类型生命周期的目的地变化的共同出现为核心。它通过引入目的地共同进化的概念作为类比,为描述经历类似进化历程的一组目的地之间的生命周期互惠关系铺平了道路。