Urology Department, Hôpital Erasme, University Clinics of Brussels, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Brussels, Belgium.
Urology Department, La Croix du Sud Hospital, Quint Fonsegrives, France.
Eur Urol. 2021 Feb;79(2):180-185. doi: 10.1016/j.eururo.2020.09.037. Epub 2020 Oct 3.
The nomogram reported by Gandaglia et al (The key combined value of multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging, and magnetic resonance imaging-targeted and concomitant systematic biopsies for the prediction of adverse pathological features in prostate cancer patients undergoing radical prostatectomy. Eur Urol 2020;77:733-41) predicting extracapsular extension (ECE) or seminal vesicle invasion (SVI) has been developed using multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) parameters and MRI-targeted biopsy. We aimed to validate this nomogram externally by analyzing 566 patients harboring prostate cancer diagnosed on MRI-targeted biopsy followed by radical prostatectomy. At final pathology, 37% and 12% patients had ECE and SVI, respectively. Performance of the nomogram, in comparison with the Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC) model and Partin tables, was evaluated using discrimination, calibration, and decision curve analysis. Regarding ECE prediction, the nomogram showed higher discrimination (71.8% vs 69.8%, p = 0.3 and 71.8% vs 61.3%, p < 0.001), and similar miscalibration and net benefit for probability threshold above 30% when compared with MSKCC model and Partin tables, respectively. Performance of the nomogram with regard to SVI was comparable in terms of discrimination (68.5% vs 70.4% vs 67.8%, p ≥ 0.6), presenting a slight overestimation on calibration plots and a net benefit for probability threshold above 7.5%. This is the first multicentric study that externally validates a nomogram predicting ECE and SVI in patients diagnosed with MRI-targeted biopsy. Its performance was less optimistic than expected, and implementation of MRI in this setting was not associated with a clear improvement in patient selection and clinical usefulness when compared with available models. We proposed an updated version of the nomogram predicting ECE using the recalibration method, which leads to an improvement in its performance and needs to be validated in another external set. PATIENT SUMMARY: We validate a prediction tool based on multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) parameters and MRI-targeted biopsy predicting extracapsular extension and seminal vesicle invasion at radical prostatectomy. An improvement of patient selection was not clearly demonstrated when compared with available models based on clinical parameters, and implementation of MRI in this setting still needs to be clarified.
甘达利亚等人报道的列线图(多参数磁共振成像和磁共振靶向及同期系统活检联合预测前列腺癌患者根治性前列腺切除术后不良病理特征的关键综合价值。欧洲泌尿外科学会 2020 年;77:733-41)用于预测外膜侵犯(ECE)或精囊侵犯(SVI),是使用多参数磁共振成像(MRI)参数和 MRI 靶向活检建立的。我们旨在通过分析 566 例经 MRI 靶向活检诊断为前列腺癌后行根治性前列腺切除术的患者,对该列线图进行外部验证。在最终的病理中,37%和 12%的患者分别有 ECE 和 SVI。使用判别、校准和决策曲线分析评估了列线图与 Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center(MSKCC)模型和 Partin 表的性能。在预测 ECE 方面,该列线图的判别能力更高(71.8%比 69.8%,p=0.3 和 71.8%比 61.3%,p<0.001),与 MSKCC 模型和 Partin 表相比,在概率阈值大于 30%时,校准和净获益相似。在预测 SVI 方面,该列线图的性能在判别方面具有可比性(68.5%比 70.4%比 67.8%,p≥0.6),校准图上略有高估,概率阈值大于 7.5%时净获益。这是第一项外部验证在 MRI 靶向活检诊断的患者中预测 ECE 和 SVI 的列线图的多中心研究。其性能不如预期乐观,与现有模型相比,在该环境下实施 MRI 并不能明显改善患者选择和临床实用性。我们提出了一种使用重新校准方法预测 ECE 的列线图的更新版本,这将提高其性能,需要在另一个外部数据集进行验证。
总结:我们验证了一种基于多参数磁共振成像(MRI)参数和 MRI 靶向活检的预测工具,用于预测根治性前列腺切除术后的外膜侵犯和精囊侵犯。与基于临床参数的现有模型相比,患者选择的改善并不明显,并且在该环境下实施 MRI 仍需进一步明确。