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[2020/2021秋冬季节的新冠肺炎与季节性流感以及医院面临的未来挑战]

[COVID-19 and Seasonal Flu During the Autumn-Winter of 2020/2021 and the Challenges Lying Ahead for Hospitals].

作者信息

Campos Luís, Mansinho Kamal, Telles de Freitas Paulo, Ramos Victor, Sakellarides Constantino

机构信息

Hospital São Francisco Xavier. Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental. Lisboa. NOVA Medical School/Faculdade de Ciências Médicas. Lisboa. Portugal.

Hospital Fernando da Fonseca. Amadora. Portugal.

出版信息

Acta Med Port. 2020 Nov 2;33(11):716-719. doi: 10.20344/amp.14818. Epub 2020 Oct 6.

Abstract

The possibility of a second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic coexisting with a simultaneous epidemic of influenza and the co-circulation of other seasonal respiratory viruses sets the stage for a perfect storm. Preparing for the Autumn-Winter of 2020/2021 is complex, requiring centralized guidance but local and regional solutions, with strong leadership and a high level of coordination. It is essential to act upstream of hospitals in order to reduce demand on emergency departments, minimizing the risk of transmission that occurs there and the team overload, as well as downstream to ensure capacity for hospitalization and in the hospital itself to optimize resources and organization. The failure of this plan will create unbearable pressure on hospital care. The authors describe the challenges lying ahead for hospitals and the most important measures that should be included in this plan to prepare the Autumn-Winter of 2020/2021 in Portugal.

摘要

2019冠状病毒病大流行的第二波疫情可能与流感疫情同时出现,以及其他季节性呼吸道病毒的共同传播,这将引发一场完美风暴。为2020/2021年秋冬做准备工作十分复杂,需要中央指导,但要采取地方和区域解决方案,同时需要强有力的领导和高度的协调。必须在医院上游采取行动,以减少对急诊科的需求,将那里发生的传播风险和团队超负荷情况降至最低,同时在下游采取行动,以确保住院能力,并在医院内部优化资源和组织。该计划的失败将给医院护理带来难以承受的压力。作者描述了葡萄牙医院在2020/2021年秋冬准备工作中面临的挑战以及该计划应包含的最重要措施。

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