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新冠病毒(COVID-19)感染是否会影响季节性流感感染趋势?2014 年至 2020 年期间,来自 11 个国家和地区的数据。

Does COVID-19 infection impact on the trend of seasonal influenza infection? 11 countries and regions, from 2014 to 2020.

机构信息

Department of Healthcare Epidemiology, Graduate School of Medicine and Public Health, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan.

Institute for Frontier Life and Medical Sciences, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan; Hakubi Center for Advanced Research, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan.

出版信息

Int J Infect Dis. 2020 Aug;97:78-80. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.05.088. Epub 2020 May 31.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

Infection due to the 2019 novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is dramatically widespread around the world. The COVID-19 pandemic could increase public concern to prevent infectious disease. The present study aimed to assess the relationship between the COVID-19 epidemic and the potential decrease in seasonal influenza cases.

METHODS

This study was performed to show trends in seasonal influenza cases from the 2014-2015 season to the 2019-2020 season in 11 countries and regions, and evaluate whether the trends in the 2019-2020 season were different before and after the COVID-19 pandemic compared to previous seasons using a quasi-experimental difference-in-difference design.

RESULTS

In East Asia, the number of seasonal influenza cases in the 2019-20 season was lower after the COVID-19 transmission compared to previous years. However, this was not the case in American countries or in European countries.

CONCLUSION

The COVID-19 epidemic might have altered health behaviors, resulting in an unexpected reduction of seasonal influenza cases.

摘要

目的

2019 年新型冠状病毒病(COVID-19)的感染在全球范围内迅速蔓延。COVID-19 大流行可能会增加公众对预防传染病的关注。本研究旨在评估 COVID-19 疫情与季节性流感病例潜在减少之间的关系。

方法

本研究旨在展示 2014-2015 赛季至 2019-2020 赛季 11 个国家和地区季节性流感病例的趋势,并使用准实验差分设计评估与前几个季节相比,COVID-19 大流行前后 2019-2020 赛季的趋势是否有所不同。

结果

在东亚,与前几年相比,COVID-19 传播后 2019-20 季节的季节性流感病例数较低。然而,在美国或欧洲国家并非如此。

结论

COVID-19 疫情可能改变了卫生行为,导致季节性流感病例意外减少。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7e87/7261472/dd547901d4a1/gr1_lrg.jpg

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