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腹部/盆腔 CT 研究解读中主要错误率的昼夜变化。

Diurnal variation of major error rates in the interpretation of abdominal/pelvic CT studies.

机构信息

Department of Radiology, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine, E3/311 Clinical Science Center, 600 Highland Avenue, MC 3252, Madison, WI, 53792-3252, USA.

Department of Biostatistics and Medical Informatics, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine, 600 Highland Avenue, MC, Madison, WI, 53792, USA.

出版信息

Abdom Radiol (NY). 2021 Apr;46(4):1746-1751. doi: 10.1007/s00261-020-02807-w. Epub 2020 Oct 10.

Abstract

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVE

Variation of visual selective attention through the day has been demonstrated in several arenas of human performance, including radiology. It is uncertain whether this variation translates to an identifiable diurnal pattern of error rates for radiology interpretation. The purpose of this study was to attempt to identify particular days of the week and times of the day when radiologists might be most prone to error.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Abdomen/pelvis CT studies containing at least one major error were collected from a 10-year period from the quality assurance (QA) database at our institution. A major error was defined as a missed finding that had altered management in a way potentially detrimental to the patient. The identified studies were categorized by the day of the week and hour of the day that the study was interpreted. Study volume data over this same period was also obtained by day of the week and time of day, so to normalize the data based on case volume. Standard errors of the volume-adjusted error rates were obtained based on the binomial distribution. The null hypothesis of constant error rates over time was tested using a weighted logistic regression model with linear time as predictor.

RESULTS

A total of 252 major errors were identified. More errors were made on Monday than on any other day of the week (n = 58). Major error rates increased through the mid to late morning (9 am to 12 pm), and then decreased progressively through the afternoon until 4 pm, when a rise in the error rate was seen. This pattern persisted when error rates were normalized by study volume within each hour. Overall tests of time-constancy of error rates by day and hour were statistically significant (both p-values < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Our study shows that error rates in abdominal CT do seem to vary with time of day and day of the week. During the workweek, error rates were highest in the late morning and at the close of the workday, and greater on Mondays than other days.

摘要

背景与目的

在包括放射学在内的多个人类表现领域,已经证明了视觉选择性注意力会随着一天的时间而变化。但是否这种变化转化为放射学解释的可识别的昼夜错误率模式尚不确定。本研究的目的是尝试确定放射科医生可能最容易出错的特定星期几和一天中的时间。

材料与方法

从我们机构的质量保证(QA)数据库中收集了来自 10 年的包含至少一个主要错误的腹部/骨盆 CT 研究。主要错误被定义为可能对患者产生潜在不利影响的漏诊。根据研究解释的星期几和一天中的小时对识别出的研究进行分类。在此期间还通过星期几和一天中的时间获得了相同的研究量数据,以便根据病例量对数据进行归一化。基于二项式分布获得了经过体积调整的错误率的标准误差。使用带有线性时间作为预测因子的加权逻辑回归模型检验了错误率随时间恒定的零假设。

结果

共发现 252 个主要错误。星期一的错误比一周中的任何其他日子都多(n=58)。错误率从上午 9 点到中午 12 点逐渐增加,然后在下午逐渐降低,直到下午 4 点出现错误率上升的情况。当按每个小时的研究量对错误率进行归一化时,这种模式仍然存在。通过每天和每小时对错误率进行时间一致性的整体检验均具有统计学意义(p 值均<0.001)。

结论

我们的研究表明,腹部 CT 的错误率似乎确实随时间和星期几而变化。在工作日期间,错误率在上午晚些时候和工作日结束时最高,在星期一比其他日子更高。

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