Sakurai Yuji, Kurosaki Tetsuo
Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, Charlotte Office, 530 E Trade St, Charlotte, NC, 28202, USA.
Bank of Japan, Japan.
Financ Res Lett. 2020 Nov;37:101773. doi: 10.1016/j.frl.2020.101773. Epub 2020 Oct 7.
In this paper, we investigate how the relationship between oil and the US stock market has changed after the onset of Covid-19 crisis. To do so, we compute upside and downside correlations between the two markets. Our findings are as follows. First, we document the correlation asymmetry: the downside correlation is higher than the upside correlation. Second, we find that both upside and downside correlations increased after the crisis. This indicates that after the start of the Covid-19 crisis, a positive (negative) oil shock is even better (worse) news for the stock market than an equivalent shock before the crisis.
在本文中,我们研究了新冠疫情危机爆发后石油与美国股票市场之间的关系是如何变化的。为此,我们计算了两个市场的上行和下行相关性。我们的研究结果如下。首先,我们记录了相关性的不对称性:下行相关性高于上行相关性。其次,我们发现危机后上行和下行相关性均有所增加。这表明在新冠疫情危机开始后,正向(负向)的石油冲击对股票市场来说比危机前同等程度的冲击是更好(更坏)的消息。