Douglas L, Novitski E
Heredity (Edinb). 1977 Apr;38(2):253-7. doi: 10.1038/hdy.1977.30.
The a priori probability of noticeable linkage among all conceivable experiments of the size reported by Mendel cannot reasonably be taken as greater than 24-36 per cent; and therefore, the frequently heard opinion that his chances of encountering linkage were high, approaching 99-4 per cent, appears to be mistaken.
在孟德尔所报告规模的所有可设想实验中,出现显著连锁的先验概率合理地说不会超过24% - 36%;因此,经常听到的观点,即他遇到连锁的几率很高,接近99.4%,似乎是错误的。