Fetal biophysical profile and perinatal death.

Antepartum assessment of 5034 high-risk pregnancies to predict perinatal death included five biophysical variables (nonstress test, fetal breathing movements, fetal movements, fetal tone, and amniotic fluid volume) which combined to form a biophysical profile score. We assessed 4148 fetuses within seven days of delivery. The ability of each variable to predict perinatal death was expressed as the likelihood ratio, which incorporates sensitivity and specificity into one number. The predictive ability was most accurate with fetal movement (likelihood ratio 48.1) and the combined biophysical profile score (likelihood ratio 51.0). The biophysical profile score was more likely to predict perinatal death due to asphyxia (seven of eight) than lethal anomaly (six of 19). The overall perinatal mortality was 7.6 per 1000 total births. The perinatal mortality rate was 1.0 for a normal biophysical profile score, 31.3 for an equivocal score, and 200.0 for an abnormal score. The false-negative rate for the biophysical profile score was 0.7 per 1000.