Bessey Alice, Chilcott James, Leaviss Joanna, de la Cruz Carmen, Wong Ruth
School of Health and Related Research, the University of Sheffield, Sheffield S1 4DA, UK.
Int J Neonatal Screen. 2019 Aug 30;5(3):28. doi: 10.3390/ijns5030028. eCollection 2019 Sep.
Severe combined immunodeficiency (SCID) can be detected through newborn bloodspot screening. In the UK, the National Screening Committee (NSC) requires screening programmes to be cost-effective at standard UK thresholds. To assess the cost-effectiveness of SCID screening for the NSC, a decision-tree model with lifetable estimates of outcomes was built. Model structure and parameterisation were informed by systematic review and expert clinical judgment. A public service perspective was used and lifetime costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) were discounted at 3.5%. Probabilistic, one-way sensitivity analyses and an exploratory disbenefit analysis for the identification of non-SCID patients were conducted. Screening for SCID was estimated to result in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of £18,222 with a reduction in SCID mortality from 8.1 (5-12) to 1.7 (0.6-4.0) cases per year of screening. Results were sensitive to a number of parameters, including the cost of the screening test, the incidence of SCID and the disbenefit to the healthy at birth and false-positive cases. Screening for SCID is likely to be cost-effective at £20,000 per QALY, key uncertainties relate to the impact on false positives and the impact on the identification of children with non-SCID T Cell lymphopenia.
严重联合免疫缺陷病(SCID)可通过新生儿血斑筛查检测出来。在英国,国家筛查委员会(NSC)要求筛查项目在英国标准阈值下具有成本效益。为评估SCID筛查对NSC的成本效益,构建了一个带有结局生命表估计的决策树模型。模型结构和参数设定依据系统评价和专家临床判断。采用公共服务视角,将终身成本和质量调整生命年(QALY)按3.5%进行贴现。进行了概率性单因素敏感性分析以及用于识别非SCID患者的探索性不良影响分析。估计SCID筛查的增量成本效益比(ICER)为18,222英镑,每年筛查导致SCID死亡率从8.1(5 - 12)例降至1.7(0.6 - 4.0)例。结果对多个参数敏感,包括筛查测试成本、SCID发病率以及对出生时健康者和假阳性病例的不良影响。每获得一个QALY花费20,000英镑时,SCID筛查可能具有成本效益,关键不确定性涉及对假阳性的影响以及对非SCID T细胞淋巴细胞减少症患儿识别的影响。