Webb Mathew, Minasny Budiman
School of Life and Environmental Sciences & Sydney Institute of Agriculture, University of Sydney, Eveleigh, NSW, Australia.
PeerJ. 2020 Oct 7;8:e10106. doi: 10.7717/peerj.10106. eCollection 2020.
Surface air temperature ( ) required for real-time environmental modelling applications should be spatially quantified to capture the nuances of local-scale climates. This study created near real-time air temperature maps at a high spatial resolution across Australia. This mapping is achieved using the thin plate spline interpolation in concert with a digital elevation model and 'live' recordings garnered from 534 telemetered Australian Bureau of Meteorology automatic weather station (AWS) sites. The interpolation was assessed using cross-validation analysis in a 1-year period using 30-min interval observation. This was then applied to a fully automated mapping system-based in the R programming language-to produce near real-time maps at sub-hourly intervals. The cross-validation analysis revealed broad similarities across the seasons with mean-absolute error ranging from 1.2 °C (autumn and summer) to 1.3 °C (winter and spring), and corresponding root-mean-square error in the range 1.6 °C to 1.7 °C. The and concordance correlation coefficient ( ) values were also above 0.8 in each season indicating predictions were strongly correlated to the validation data. On an hourly basis, errors tended to be highest during the late afternoons in spring and summer from 3 pm to 6 pm, particularly for the coastal areas of Western Australia. The mapping system was trialled over a 21-day period from 1 June 2020 to 21 June 2020 with majority of maps completed within 28-min of AWS site observations being recorded. All outputs were displayed in a web mapping application to exemplify a real-time application of the outputs. This study found that the methods employed would be highly suited for similar applications requiring real-time processing and delivery of climate data at high spatiotemporal resolutions across a considerably large land mass.
实时环境建模应用所需的地表气温( )应进行空间量化,以捕捉局部尺度气候的细微差别。本研究在澳大利亚全境以高空间分辨率创建了近实时气温地图。此映射是通过薄板样条插值法结合数字高程模型以及从澳大利亚气象局534个遥测自动气象站(AWS)站点获取的“实时”记录来实现的。使用交叉验证分析在1年时间内以30分钟间隔观测对插值进行评估。然后将其应用于基于R编程语言的全自动映射系统,以生成亚小时间隔的近实时地图。交叉验证分析显示各季节具有广泛相似性,平均绝对误差范围为1.2℃(秋季和夏季)至1.3℃(冬季和春季),相应的均方根误差在1.6℃至1.7℃之间。各季节的 和一致性相关系数( )值也均高于0.8,表明预测与验证数据高度相关。按小时计算,误差往往在春季和夏季下午晚些时候3点至6点最高,特别是西澳大利亚的沿海地区。该映射系统在2020年6月1日至2020年6月21日的21天期间进行了试验,大多数地图在AWS站点观测记录后的28分钟内完成。所有输出结果都显示在一个网络地图应用程序中,以举例说明输出结果的实时应用。本研究发现,所采用的方法将非常适合于需要在相当大的陆地上以高时空分辨率进行气候数据实时处理和交付的类似应用。