2030年法国博物馆的未来。
The future of French museums in 2030.
作者信息
Pauget Bertrand, Tobelem Jean-Michel, Bootz Jean-Philippe
机构信息
Senior Lecturer in Business Administration, Karlstad University, Sweden.
Associate Professor, University of Paris I Panthéon-Sorbonne, Paris, France.
出版信息
Technol Forecast Soc Change. 2021 Jan;162:120384. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2020.120384. Epub 2020 Oct 21.
The purpose of this article is to describe the possible futures of French museums up to 2030. To do this we rely on a Delphi study that took place between late 2017 and early 2018 with 99 experts from the field. We propose three scenarios. The first aims to create museums centered around youth and to democratize culture. The second corresponds to the reaction of museums facing a decrease in public funding. The third is a breakdown scenario, where museums undergo evolutions. In this latter scenario, a direct participation of nearby stakeholders is observed, unlike the other two scenarios.
本文旨在描述直至2030年法国博物馆可能的未来发展情况。为此，我们依据了一项于2017年末至2018年初开展的德尔菲研究，该研究涉及99位来自该领域的专家。我们提出了三种设想方案。第一种旨在创建以青年为核心的博物馆并实现文化民主化。第二种对应博物馆在公共资金减少时的应对举措。第三种是一种分解设想方案，即博物馆会经历变革。在这后一种设想方案中，可以观察到附近利益相关者的直接参与，这与其他两种设想方案不同。
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