Gubler D J
San Juan Laboratories, Centers for Disease Control, PR 00936.
P R Health Sci J. 1987 Aug;6(2):107-11.
There has been a constant increase in the incidence of dengue in the Americas over the past 15 years. This has been caused by increased frequency of epidemic activity in most countries, as a result of increased numbers of virus serotypes circulating in the region. The change in disease ecology has resulted in the emergence of dengue hemorrhagic fever/dengue shock syndrome (DHF/DSS) in the region, first with a major epidemic in Cuba, followed by increased occurrence of sporadic cases of DHF/DSS in many countries. The sequence of events in the Americas in the 1980's has been nearly identical to the pattern observed in Southeast Asia in the 1950's. Prospects for prevention of epidemic DHF/DSS in the American region, therefore, are not good. In the absence of Aedes aegypti eradication, the only hope for effective prevention and control is to develop more effective active surveillance for DHF/DSS and combine that with both emergency and community-based vector control programs.
在过去15年中,美洲登革热的发病率持续上升。这是由于该地区大多数国家流行活动频率增加所致,原因是该地区传播的病毒血清型数量增多。疾病生态的变化导致该地区出现了登革出血热/登革休克综合征(DHF/DSS),首先在古巴爆发了一次大流行,随后许多国家散发性DHF/DSS病例的发生率增加。20世纪80年代美洲的事件顺序与20世纪50年代在东南亚观察到的模式几乎相同。因此,在美国地区预防流行性DHF/DSS的前景不容乐观。在无法根除埃及伊蚊的情况下,有效预防和控制的唯一希望是针对DHF/DSS开展更有效的主动监测,并将其与应急和基于社区的病媒控制计划相结合。